New HDB flats in non-mature estate prove popular

BuangkokWOods1Usually it’s the new HDB flats in matures estates which receive the most applications. But in Wednesday’s launch of 4,841 new Build-to-order (BTO) HDB flats, it were the units in Buangkok woods in Hougang which caught the most attention. In the same launch were units in the mature estate of Tampines and also in the non-mature estates of Sembawang and Yishun. The price difference between 3-room HDB flats in the 2 estates differ by about $20,000 with those in Tampines starting from $202,000 and $185,000 in Hougang.

The lower prices may have been the deciding factor for HDB flat seekers. Units in Yishun were starting from $156,000. As of Wednesday evening, the Hougang flats were already seeing 6 applicants for every 10 units while the 2 projects in Tampines had 2 to 3 applicants for every 10 units.

ValleySpringYishunHDBIncluded in the launch were 2-room flexi flats, which are much sought-after by singles who are now allowed to purchase new flats directly from HDB but only in non-mature estates. As per other HDB flats, they have 99-year leases or shorter ones for the elderly. These popular property-types were almost completely subscribed for within the first day of the launch.

For young families and couples looking for a flat in mature estates, the next launch might prove worthy of the wait, with 2,910 units in popular HDB towns of Bedok, Kallang/Whampoa and Bidadari. The last on the list will probably be of most interest to buyers.

Applications for the current launch will close on Tuesday, 23 August 2016.

Jurong Lake District – New sparkling Gem of the West

In less than 2 decades, the landscape of Singapore’s west-side could be said to be almost completely transformed. From the largely industrial factory districts to far-flung housing estates and only a few schools, new shopping malls, transport hubs, commercial and office spaces, private residential homes and spanking new build-to-order (BTO) flats now dot the scene.

Juronglakedistrict

Photo credit: URA

Jurong, once a busy but secondary commercial district, has been slated for development as Singapore’s second central business district (CBD). Every large city is almost certain to have one secondary commercial hub, as big and functional as the town-centre CBD, but newer and with more space for development. Just thing of Shanghia’s Pudong or London’s Canary Wharf. The Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) is looking to transform the Jurong Lake District into a eco-friendly, futuristic township with homes, offices, hotels and filled with greenery and waterways.

LakeGrandeWith the Kuala Lumpur-Singapore high speed rail in its midst and as the convergence point of a number of new and existing MRT lines, there seems to be quite a far breadth for value appreciation of residential and commercial properties in the Jurong Lake district.

With Punggol and Jurong both set to include many good, new things may be coming the country’s way in the next decade or two.

Singapore home prices remain muted

As long as the property cooling measures are here to stay and global economics remain shaky, home prices may hover at the current levels.

ArdmoreIIIAnd as the government continues to roll out more new build-to-order (BTO) flats while keeping the loan ratio capped at 30 per cent, demand for resale HDB flats may continue its lacklustre run. Although there was a 0.1 per cent rise in HDB prices in Q2, prices were mainly flat and private home prices dipped further by 0.4 per cent, that is following a 0.7 per cent fall in Q1. Some property players have viewed the private property market as possibly reaching the bottom of the cycle.

Since the last market peak in 2013, HDB and private home prices are now 9.8 per cent and 9.4 per cent lower respectively. There have been some signs of recovery in Q2 as private property prices in the core central region (CCR) rose 0.2 per cent. Developers have also been actively seeking out sales by offering creative payment schemes and keeping sales volume to a respectable level.

Considering the average length of a property lull being 8.4 quarters, this cycle may already have reached the end of its run. Will a prolonged cycle mean an even sharper and more drastic rebound when the measures are loosened? How will the market then respond to that and will there be any drawbacks?

High demand for bigger units in mature estates

Senja HeightsAccording to response from applicants for the latest HDB sales launch of BTO (build-to-order) and SBF (sale of balance) flats, bigger units in mature estates seemed to be most hotly contested.

3,770 BTO flats were rolled out in last week’s launch, with units available in Ang Mo Kio, Bedok, Bukit Panjang and Sembawang. In addition, 5,170 SBF flats were also available for selection across 29 HDB estates. The units in Bedok and Ang Mo Kio were most in demand as these mature estates have well-developed infrastructure and some buyers who have lived there most of their lives prefer to move within the estate.

bedoknorthwoods

Photo credit: HDB

Will this mean a corresponding demand for resale flats of similar size in the same estates? It is debatable as prices of larger resale flats have already been falling as demand waned. As the availability of new units direct from HDB, and options of going into the private property market beckons, HDB upgraders will have quite a few pros and cons to weigh. While private homes within the same price range may be quite a lot smaller, rental and future value appreciation of selected private properties may entice buyers. On the other hand, upgrading within the resale HDB flat market may get you a larger unit though not necessarily with future sale benefits. Rental demand however could still be high should the unit be near a MRT station, school or other amenities.

HDB’s May launch includes units in mature estates

bedoknorthwoodsUp to 8,940 new BTO (Build-to-order) and SBF (Sale of balance) flats will be made available in HDB’s latest launch. Most action may be seen in Ang Mo Kio and Bedok, both mature estates with well-laid-out amenities. Analysts are expecting subscription rates of up to 5 times the number of units available. The other estates with new BTO units available are  Sembawang and Bukit Panjang while SBF units are available in most other estates, numbers varying.

Sembawang East Creek1Without doubt, flats in mature estates tend to have a more established resale value. But Minister for National Development, Mr. Lawrence Wong, is encouraging young families to consider flats in non-mature estates, stating that “a ‘non-mature’ estate today can become a ‘mature’ estate tomorrow” as the government is working hard to instate regional commercial hubs, transport and other public amenities into these newer towns in order to connect the residents to the workforce better.

He cites the difference of up to $100,000 between a 3-room flat in Sembawang and a similar unit in Bedok. In fact, 2-room flexi units could be priced as low at $4,000 with grants taken into account. 2-room flats are now available for senior citizens and also singles, though the latter are only allowed to apply for those in non-mature estates.

AngMoKioCourt

Photos credit: HDB

Applications for May’s launch will close next Monday on May 30.

Resale HDB flat prices down 0.1%

March saw a very slight 0.1 per cent fall in prices for the resale HDB flat market, mainly for 3-room and 4-room flats. This is following a 0.2 per cent rise in February and a year of stagnant prices.

Analysts are not expecting resale flat prices to go anywhere anytime soon as the slowing economy and continued property cooling curbs continue. Buyers seem to be favouring slightly smaller 4-room flats over 5-room units and any spike in the price index could be occasional and non-indicative of the overall market outlook.

21c0a7bf81e440299d0bd4b956642daaResale flats in mature estates have always been  popular with buyers, but even this market segment has been hampered by global and local uncertainties. There is good news however. Sales volume of resale HDB flats have risen in March despite the fall in prices. There were 451 more units sold in March than the 1,200 in February. The launch of new BTO (build-to-order) flats in February may have also taken some attention away from the resale market, though the latter will always find a place in the consumers’ radar as some buyers may not be willing or able to wait for new flats to be built or they may prefer living in locations other than those in which new flats are being launched or built.

The A-Bi-Cs of mature HDB estates

Bishan and Bidadari. Both mature estates and both in popular demand. The only difference might be that Bishan is more established while Bidadari is a new foundling in the already-mature estate of Toa Payoh.

The recent buzz around the centralised Bidadari estate has prompted many to call it the “next Bishan”. How exactly do these 2 estates compare?

BidadariPhoto credit: HDB

As far as history goes, Bishan was one of the first model HDB towns 30 years back. And now Bidadari, which means “angel” or “fairy” in Malay, seems to be taking its place as the next big thing. Both B-word towns have good city-fringe locations and are built on land which were once cemeteries. Bidadari will have the luck of having Bishan run its course with the stigma of living on cemetery land. Buyers of today are no longer as affected by this fact.

Even though property agents and analysts say they are unsure how resale prices and infrastructure in this new estate will pan out, the initial response is very positive. Both its November 2015 and February 2016 launches were about 23 times oversubscribed despite the more expensive sales tags. Its proximity to the city centre plus the 3 MRT stations (Potong Pasir, Bartley and Woodleigh) serving it, Bishan makes up for the difference only by its direct access to its own shopping mall, park and amenities such as sports facilities, library, community centre, offices and business facilities. The Bishan MRT station is also an interchange station between the North-South and Circle MRT lines.

Bishan HDB estatePhoto credit: HDB

Resale HDB flats in Bishan can go up to $730,000 for a 5-room flat. While the new BTO flats in Bidadari were launched at prices between $544,000 and $625,000, they look set to reach possibly higher resale prices once they are available in the resale market.

 

How deep is the property market well?

Property prices in Singapore have been falling since 2014, 10 consecutive quarters to be exact. In the first quarter of this year, HDB flat prices have stabilised at 0.1 per cent while private property prices have dipped 0.7 per cent. In 2015, HDB flat and private property prices fell an average of 0.4 and 0.9 per cent respectively.

Kingsford WaterbayPhoto: Kingsford Waterbay condominium 

HDB flat prices have begun to stabilise of late, though some property analysts are still expecting a further drop in the second half of the year as 25,000 new BTO flats reach completion this year. A good 30 per cent of these new-flat buyers are upgraders and home owners, not investors, which means they will be looking to sell their existing HDB flat in order to finance their new flat. This will bring a new slew of units into the resale HDB flat market. Though the demand for resale flats has not waned much, the rise in supply may put the ball in the buyers’ court.

 Photo: Clementi Gateway BTO flats

Similarly in the private property and EC (executive condominium) market, buyers will need to time their upgrading manoeuvre in order to manage cash flow, thus some may be in a rush to let go of their existing unit which could put further pressure on the market which will be seeing 21,906 new private condominium and 4,561 EC units enter its midst this year. How will the property sector perform in this crucial second quarter of 2016?