Outlook hopeful despite fall in private home prices

After 14 consecutive quarters of declining private home prices, slivers of light are shining through – the suburban condominium market has seen a tad more activity with prices rising slightly; and for most part, the rate of decline has slowed.

SantoriniThe fall in prices of private homes stood at 0.5 per cent last quarter, similar to that in the last quarter of 2016. Suburban non-landed property prices have in fact posted a growth of 0.1 per cent after 13 straight quarters of decline. The positive figures in the suburbs could be due to the many new projects in areas outside of the central region which launched to much success in the earlier part of the year. These included developments such as The Clement Canopy in Clementi and Grandeur Park Residences in Tanah Merah. Previously-launched projects such as Parc Riviera and The Santorini also re-marketed their units resulting in favourable response from buyers.

Property analysts also contributed some of the uptick in buying sentiment to recent changes in the property cooling measures. Though the impact may not be obvious and immediate, it has nevertheless helped to inject some optimism in the market. Though the expectation is for property prices to fall 1 to 3 per cent in H1, the second half of the year should see prices stabilising and 2017 may just end on a happier note.

Positive growth for new private homes

There is hope for the private property market yet, as budding signs of recovery peeked through not only in the resale property segment but also blossomed a little in the new private homes sector.SeasideResidencesFor the third consecutive month now, the new private homes sector has shown positive growth with 977 units sold in February, more than double the 382 sold in January, and despite there having only been one new launch last month. The Clement Canopy which was launched in February, did however put 250 new units into the market, selling 207 at a median price of $1,343 psf. A total of 550 units were released last month, compared to the 108 in January. Part of muted response the month prior to last could however be put to the Chinese New Year festive season which fell in late January.

Demand for executive condominiums (ECs) have also increased with 329 units sold, up 78.8 precent from January. The best-selling EC last month was Sol Acres with 82 units sold at the average price of $782 psf. Industry analysts are already seeing a more positive market sentiment this year, an overall sense of confidence from developers and buyers. With the recent relaxation of the Seller Stamp Duty (SSD) rules and new upcoming launches such as Seaside Residences, and as confidence ignites confidence, the hope is for the momentum to move the industry along as the year proceeds.

 

New home sales yet to show significant change following SSD tweaks

Perhaps the recent changes in Sellers’ Stamp Duty (SSD) regulations may have no effect on the property market, or it might have a considerable effect. Whichever direction things might go, it is still too early to tell. Sales of new properties following the March 11 announcement has yet to show significant signs of change in terms of concrete figures, but the tweak has however boosted interest in new launches as shown in the response from the public at recent show flats such as that of Marine Blue and Park Place Residences.

MarineBlueCondoWhile earlier launches of The Clement Canopy and Grandeur Park Residences generated positive sales during their launch weekends, things have slowed down in the time following. That is however the general real estate market trend and is no cause for alarm. Most property analysts are glad for the change as it will bring about positive sentiments in the buying market, which could mean more energy, move net and direction in the months ahead. They are not certain this relaxation of the property cooling curbs will have a big impact on the market but are nevertheless happy the government has taken this step in moving forward. The next most likely impact would be the push for those caught in a dither of to-buy-or-not-to-buy.

On the other side, the Federal Reserve has raised their interest rates to 1 per cent and that could affect home loan rates, in turn diminishing demand from property investors.

 

Next major condo launch to watch – Park Place Residences

Following the successful launches of The Clement Canopy and Grandeur Park Residences, The Park Place Residences at the Paya Lebar Quarter (PLQ) previewed on 11 March and developer, Lendlease is more than hopeful about the response.

Paya Lebar Quarter_Lendlease

Photo credit: Lendlease

With a prime location in the developing Paya Lebar regional hub, the 429-unit property will provide fodder for the current pent-up demand in the market. The 99-year leasehold development released 40 per cent or 171 apartment units at its first release a couple of weekends ago. Most of they units made available for selection were 2- and 3-bedders. The Park Place Residences is part of the $3.2 billion Paya Lebar Quarter (PLQ) development which will consist of 3 office towers, 3 residential blocks and a mall. It is jointly developed by Lendlease and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.

The developers are already planning for a second wave of release, where the pricing will be higher and based on the response from the first wave. As interest in smaller, affordably-priced units have been on the rise, buyers will be interested to know that Park Place Residences will have 117 one-bedroom units sized between 480 and 580 sq ft with prices starting at $780,000. The project features mainly two-bedroom units sized between 650 and 900 sq ft starting at $1 million – there are 234 of these units in the project. The remaining 78 units are 3-bedders of between 1,080 and 1,350 sq ft priced at around $1.6 million.

ParkPlaceResidencesThe average selling price is between $1,560 to $1,610 psf. While this is higher than the $1,400 psf median prices of units at The Clement Canopy and Grandeur Park Residences, the location and potential for growth of The Park Place Residences more than make up for it. It will be launched for sale on March 25.

Weak rental market not an obstacle for investors

While the weakening rental market may have been putting pressure on investors, the concurrent weakening private property prices are opportunities to some. While the leasing market has slowed down considerably, the property-purchasing market has been gaining speed, especially in the last quarter or so.

TRE ResidencesThe overall genial atmosphere in the private residential property market over the past few months have brought property investors back into the heat of things. As more newly completed properties enter the market and new projects such as The Clement Canopy and Grandeur Park Residences were launched to affirmative responses early in the year. Overall private home prices fell at the slowest rate in 3 years, which could point to an increasingly stabilising market.

It would be prudent however for investors to take into consideration that the property cooling measures have not yet been lifted, though some signs of relief have been provided earlier this month. In the past, profits of up to 60 per cent could be reaped in the short-term, but the long-term potential of a property, rather than quick turnarounds or a dependency on rental profits, will be at the heart of a good investment henceforth. Property analysts advise investors to consider cash-flow, calculate mortgage and maintenance costs carefully while keeping a portion aside for periods of negative cash flow when  the property is unable to be tenanted.

New property launches in Clementi and Choa Chu Kang drew crowds

When a new condominium becomes available in a mature estate, it usually excites the crowd. Especially if the estate has not had a new launch for sometime.

iNzExecCOndoPhoto credit: www.inzresidence-ec.sg

Demand for new private residential units have been on the rise since late last year and pent-up demand following the year-end festive season plus the affordability of units at The Clement Canopy in Clementi have brought in the crowds at its launch last weekend.

195 units from the 505-unit The Clement Canopy has already sold on its first weekend of the launch – that is almost 80 per cent of the 250 units released. This new development leans heavily on 2-bedroom units with almost 40 per cent of the apartments sized between 635 to 732 sq ft and priced between $850,000 to $1.2million.

ClementiCanopyPhoto credit: http://clementcanopy.info

The growing interest in the property could be precisely because of the reasonable quantum prices. The project’s green features and location also adds to the potential resale value of the units as some buyers who have been waiting for drastic changes in the property market make the decision to strike when the iron is hot. The discounts of $6,000 to $12,000 afforded buyers over the weekend may also have sweetened deals of course.

Elsewhere, the iNz executive condominium (EC) was also launched to welcoming response. Developed by Qingjian Realty and situated in Choa Chu Kang, it is the first EC to be launched this year. E-applications for the project will end on March 5.

 

New private home sales rise 17.6%

In a year-on-year comparison, new private home sales has risen a promising 17.6% since last January. With 381 units sold last month, an increase from the 324 from the same month last year and up 3.8 per cent from December’s 367 units, it’s safe to say the year for the new non-landed residential homes market segment has gotten off to a rather good start.

Suburban condominims made the biggest showing with 238 units sold last month. 110 units were sold in the city fringes followed by 33 in the core central region. Parc Riviera came out tops with 38 units sold at $1,270 psf, followed by 25 units at The Trilinq at $1,399 psf. Developers have been aggressive in their marketing and pricing strategies, offering discounts and lowering prices to make it palatable overall to increasingly savvy buyers.

parcriviera2The new property launch earlier this month, Clement Canopy, together with last weekend’s launch at Grandeur Park Residences, and upcoming launches at Park Place Residences and Seaside Residences, will be a boost to the quarter’s sales volume.

While no quick nor drastic rebound is expected for the year ahead, industry experts are nevertheless hopeful about the performance of this market sector. They expect demand to hold steady and a sales figure of about 7,000 units. Essentially, the pins holding down the pricing structure are the cooling measures though there might be a bit of give should the interest rates change.

First private condominium launch in 2017 – Clement Canopy

Open for preview today is a new condominium in the west – on Clementi Avenue 1 to be exact. The 505-unit Clement Canopy is a joint venture between UOL Group and Singapore Land and the developers are hopeful about an uptick in demand, as shown by a pickup in new home sales last year.

The-Clement-Canopy-1Photo credit: http://clementcanopy.info

Situated in the Jurong Lake District – which is earmarked to be developed into the second Central Business District (CBD)– and with a number of schools such as the NUS High School of Mathematics and Science and the Yale-NUS College, this new condominium project will benefit from high rental demand. The 99-year leasehold development will consist of two 40-storey blocks holding a range of 2- to 4-room units. 194 out of the 505 units are 2-bedders sized between 635 to 732 sq ft and priced between $85,000 to $1 million. These smaller units are more palatable in terms of the total quantum price and also more in demand in the rental market.

The TrilinqOther bigger units include 3-bedders starting at $1.28 million and 4-bedders priced from $1.62 million. Selling prices are pegged between $1,340 to $1,360 psf. As a comparison, the neighbouring private residential condominiums, The Trilinq, is going for $1,400 psf but it is a tad nearer the Clementi MRT station; and Parc Riviera on West Coast Vale is selling at around $1,200 psf . There are no one-bedroom apartments at Clement Canopy and developers are hoping this will help differentiate their product from the rest of the market. Swimming pools and smart home features will be included in the project.

This year, the  would probably be all about timing. Launched at the right time, when demand is high and supply slow in stirring consumer interest, a new development could do very well indeed.