Increased supply beginning to affect private resale condo prices?

There has been talk about private non-landed home prices being affected by the onslaught of new completed homes flooding the market this year. Could the supply-glut effect be already taking hold of the market as resale completed condo prices fell 1 per cent in March?

Bentley ResidenceFebruary and January were positive months for the private resale property market as prices rose 0.5 and 0.2 per cent respectively. Though the fall in March may seem a bit of a letdown, an overall dip was registered in all market segments. The largest decrement was for the non-central regions, where a 1.4 per cent fall was recorded.

Property analysts are expecting a 3 per cent fall in private home prices this year as the supply of completed homes continue to be met by competition from new launches and competitive pricing from developer-sold projects. Resellers of completed or older resale condominium units may face increase competition from developers who are now pricing newly-launched units are more palatable pricing. Buyers have also become more selective and are more likely to pay only for location. The total debt servicing ratio (TDSR) framework also limits the amount they can loan, thus putting a bit of a dampener on investment- or upgrading-based property purchases.

As the middle of the year approaches quickly, the next quarter will likely show the market response more clearly as more new launches are planned. How will the consumers react to the competition for their attention. Will sales volume increase significantly or will prices fall in the heat of battle?

Private home prices dip for 10 consecutive quarters

The delicate balance between population growth, economy growth and housing provision is not an easy one to strike. And Singapore as a young nation, will have to learn quickly as land is limited but the number of completed units to enter the market in the next couple of years is set to reach 23,000.

Cairnhill Nine CapitaLand

Photo credit: Cairnhill Nine by CapitaLand

Private property prices have been dipping for 10 consecutive quarters now, and the market will be under even greater pressure in the months ahead as supply continues to increase while demand remains stagnant. Rental prices are expected to fall even faster than sale prices and the global economic situation does not seem to be helping. Prices have fallen 9.1 per cent since Q3 of 2013 and non-landed suburban properties in the OCR (outside of central region) fell the hardest.

Part of the reason for the falling figures could be the cutback on land sales by the government and the consequent lack of new launches. Only 953 units were launched in Q1, but property players are expecting the momentum to pick up as the year moves on.

It the first quarter’s numbers were anything to go by, with sales rising 7.2 per cent to 2,847 units, volume may have increased across both the new and resale private home markets.

 

Prices of suburban properties dipping

Prices of new properties in the prime central districts have been rising, even as the market dulls. Suburban homes are feeling the strain put on the market by the influx of completed new homes this year.

The PanoramaBuyers seeking out properties in the suburbs tend to be more price-sensitive, and are often hampered by the total debt servicing ratio (TDSR) framework and the additional buyers’ stamp duty (ABSD), leading to higher competition from an expanding pool of stock for a shrinking pool of ready buyers. Prices at The Panorama in Ang Mo Kio have fell 9.7 per cent since its launch to $1,213 psf and similarly in Clementi, units at The Trilinq are now priced around $1,408 psf, almost 9 per cent lower than its launch price.

In comparison, buyers of properties in the prime central districts are more affluent and are able to afford the prices properties here demand. For example at Robin Residences, selling prices are now hovering at $2,371 psf, 2.4 per cent higher than its launch-price. Buyers of centrally located properties also have stronger holding power and less likely to sell unless the price is right.

RObin ResidencesThe price gap between suburban and central district homes have been widening. Last year, CCR (core central region) new-home price premiums were 81 per cent over those in the OCR (outside central region). As more OCR homes hit the secondary market this year, how will smaller investors handle the competition?

 

843 new private homes sold in March

And that is a 8-month high, especially since the last new property launch was 4 months ago – The Poiz Residences in November 2015. That could be the glimmer of hope the local property market has been waiting for, though some analysts are still cautious about a obvious rebound as the government has tightened their grip on land supply this year.

WIsteria YishunThe rise in transactions of new units last month could be partly due to the pent up demand over the Chinese new year lull in February and the lack of new launches in the first 2 months of the year. Only 209 units were launched in February while the number more than tripled to 682 in March. The number of units sold doubled from 303 in February to 843 in March. The 2 new launches in March were Cairnhill Nine and The Wisteria.

Although the government has announced that they will be unlikely to ease up on the property cooling measures anytime soon, some buyers who may have been waiting in the sidelines for better deals may be coming to realise that prices will not be falling drastically this year and may have finally made the purchase move last month.

Overall, market sentiment is picking up and buyers are picking off bargains and affordable units before the winds change. New mass market suburban properties are capturing eyeballs and wallets.

Tengah – A whole new world

Just when you think Singapore is running out of space, there is news that a whole new town will be built in the west side of the country. Announced in Parliament earlier this week by National Development Minister Lawrence Wong, the new town nicknamed “Forest Town” –  Tengah will be around the size of Bishan and bordering Choa Chu Kang, Bukit Batok and Jurong West HDB estates.

tengah-new-town

Photo credit: HDB

Apparently mooted as early as 1991, Tengah will be an industrial park that blends nature with industries from the nearby Jurong Innovation District. In the planning are 55,000 new homes. With the buzz that has been rallying around the west – new condominiums and HDB flats in Lakeside, Bukit Batok and Choa Chu Kang – and a general rejuvenation of the Jurong regional industrial and business district, new property hot spots may spark new interest in previously underrated districts while areas which are already popular may burn even brighter.

HDB MasterplanPhoto credit: HDB

Across the island, part of the plans to rejuvenate Singapore include a new creative cluster in Punggol, a new waterfront Northern Growth corridor that embraces Woodlands and Sembawang and also a second regional business district at Jurong Lake. The government also has plans to rejuvenate older towns such as Toa Payoh, Pasir Ris and Woodlands.

As infrastructure and commercial opportunities expand over the next 1o to 20 years, the property market may gradually witness a more seamless flow of demand and supply over most districts.

Buangkok – The forgotten gem

When the Buangkok name is mentioned, many may remember the time when its namesake MRT station was in the news for being underused; some may still only think of it faintly as the backyard of other more mature townships such as Ang Mo Kio and Hougang. But Buangkok has since come into its own with connectivity on the North-east MRT line and as Sengkang and Punggol continues to grow.

The 616-unit Jewel @ Buangkok private condominium has taken root at this tranquil spot on the island and is just a 3-minute walk away from the Buangkok MRT station.

DnestSituated in between the Eastern and the Northern regions, it is just a short drive away on the Tampines Expressway (TPE) and Kallang-Paya Lebar Expresseway (KPE) from the Changi Business Park, planned Paya Lebar Business Hub and the Singapore EXPO. This makes the property a prime sweet spot for not only home-occupiers but also investors.

95 per cent of the property has been sold and its range of 3-bedders, dual key 4-bedders and penthouses will come into the private market this year. Most of the units boast a north-south orientation thus cutting out sun glare, and also come with smart storage systems and premium home interiors. Another similar property nearby with a 95 percent sales record is the d’Nest condominium which is expected to receive its TOP (temporary occupation permit) status next year.

Luxury apartments in Thailand taking off

Thailand – one of the many South-east Asian countries frequented not only by regional visitors, but also those from countries afar who fancy a spot of sun, great food and even greater shopping. With short-term apartment rental schemes taking off and businesses relocating headquarters regionally, the construction and property markets have seen a boom in the past decade.

Chewathai InterchangePhoto: Chewathai Interchange (photo by TEE Land)

Just a stone’s throw away from the Don Meaung airport, Singapore developer TEE Land is building its first landed property development, Chewarom Residence. The project will have 15 detached and 66 semi-detached houses, and is set to launch in the second or third quarter of this year to prices starting from $194,500 (5 million baht). Though these units are only available to locals due to foreign property ownership rules, this is nevertheless a coup for developers outside of Thailand.

TEE Land also ha a number of other condominium developments in Bangkok and Nonthaburi. One of their most exciting ventures include a 279-unit, 26-storey condominium Chewathai Interchange, which will boast a host of communal facilities such as a sky swimming pool, business centre and 24-hr security. TEE Land’s subsidary, TEE Development, owns 49 per cent of Chewathai.

Hallmark NgamwongwanPhoto: Hallmark Ngamwongwang (photo by TEE Land)

Another 560-unit condominium, Chewathai Petchkasem 27 has a freehold status and will be made available to foreign buyers by September starting from 1.5 million for a 40 sq metre unit. Situated opposite Siam University near Bang Wa BTS station, it will be ready by 2018 and can easily to rented out.

Rental market’s little dipper

The stars may be a little misaligned for the property rental market this year, as rental volume and prices were down last month for both the private condominium and HDB flat segments.
Wateredge Condo RentalPhoto: Water Edge condominium

Suburban property sales and rental prices have already been sliding this year thus the market remains on edge as there will be about 21,000 new private residential units coming onto the market this year, most of which will be in the suburbs. Most of the rental transactions registered this year were lease renewals instead of newly-signed leases. Private property leases fell 17.5 per cent from the 3,389 units in January to 2,797 in February.

The HDB flat rental market is not spared either, with rental prices falling for the 6th consecutive month now. There was a slight increase in January but that may have just been a general pickup from the post-festive period in December. 5-room flats suffered the largest fall in rents, with a 1.8 per cent drop while 4-room flats saw a 0.1 per cent rise. 3-room flats and executive flats rental prices dropped 0.6 and 0.8 per cent respectively.

Sengkang ECPhoto: Executive condominium in Sengkang

With the pendulum swinging in the way of tenants, landlords may find themselves having to contend with competition from newer units and also having to match in terms of pricing, lease periods and amenities provided. Tenants are more likely to go for shorter leases even if rents are slightly higher rather than having to commit to a long lease period.