Resale HDB market sees rise in sales

The number of resale HDB flats exchanging hands in April rose by 10.3%, a positive sign despite prices remaining level. The last time sales volume exceeded the 1,800-unit mark was in October 2012. 1,828 units were sold in April this year.

Though property analysts are wary about calling this a market rebound, the increase in transactions could mean an eventual decrease in the number of resale flats available. Depending on how far the price gap between private property and resale HDB flats goes, the diminishing stock of resale flats in the market may entice buyers to purchase sooner rather than later. And the increase in rarity could also mean the increase in prices.

Serangoon HDB flatFor the moment however, the buyers may still have the upper hand as most are buying only after having waited for prices to fall. The cash-over-valuation prices are almost all gone, and with the purchasing process adjusted, buyers are less likely to fork out additional monies above the valuation price. In addition, data pertaining to resale flat prices can now be more easily accessed, thus buyers are seldom willing to succumb to sellers’ high asking prices.

HDB flat prices have stagnated for almost a year now, though the fluctuation either ways has not been drastic. Last month for example, 3-room flat prices rose by 0.6 per cent though 5-room flat prices fell by 0.9 per cent. This could be an indication of what the buyers are now looking for. As the population and policies shift, the property market will also need to adapt quickly to their changing needs.

It’s an EC world

Executive condominiums are some of the hottest properties on the buying public’s radar this year. These rare hybrid private-public homes straddle the 2 markets in the best way possible. While they begin their journey as public housing, thus allowing qualifying buyers to make use of government subsidies and loans to secure a usually cheaper-yet-comparable alternative to private condominium units, they graduate after 10 years to the private property market and their values more often that not appreciate considerably.

WandervaleECOne of the first ECs to be launched this year include Wandervale and The Visionaire. The Parc Life will soon be launched. Even though the nearby 1-327-unit Sol Acres EC might have been competing for buyers , 320 out of the 534-unit Wandervale EC in Choa Chu Kang has been sold.  Most of the units popular with HDB ugpraders and young families were the 4-bedders. 82 were sold in total. Prices averaged at $755 psf with a 3-bedroom apartment starting at $655,000 and the larger 4-bedders going for more than $896,000.  The Wandervale’s proximity to the Choa Chu Kang MRT station could have added to its popularity.

Besides The Parc Life, other EC launches in the works include Treasure Crest in Sengkang, Northwave in Woodlands and another in Choa Chu Kang.

The A-Bi-Cs of mature HDB estates

Bishan and Bidadari. Both mature estates and both in popular demand. The only difference might be that Bishan is more established while Bidadari is a new foundling in the already-mature estate of Toa Payoh.

The recent buzz around the centralised Bidadari estate has prompted many to call it the “next Bishan”. How exactly do these 2 estates compare?

BidadariPhoto credit: HDB

As far as history goes, Bishan was one of the first model HDB towns 30 years back. And now Bidadari, which means “angel” or “fairy” in Malay, seems to be taking its place as the next big thing. Both B-word towns have good city-fringe locations and are built on land which were once cemeteries. Bidadari will have the luck of having Bishan run its course with the stigma of living on cemetery land. Buyers of today are no longer as affected by this fact.

Even though property agents and analysts say they are unsure how resale prices and infrastructure in this new estate will pan out, the initial response is very positive. Both its November 2015 and February 2016 launches were about 23 times oversubscribed despite the more expensive sales tags. Its proximity to the city centre plus the 3 MRT stations (Potong Pasir, Bartley and Woodleigh) serving it, Bishan makes up for the difference only by its direct access to its own shopping mall, park and amenities such as sports facilities, library, community centre, offices and business facilities. The Bishan MRT station is also an interchange station between the North-South and Circle MRT lines.

Bishan HDB estatePhoto credit: HDB

Resale HDB flats in Bishan can go up to $730,000 for a 5-room flat. While the new BTO flats in Bidadari were launched at prices between $544,000 and $625,000, they look set to reach possibly higher resale prices once they are available in the resale market.

 

How deep is the property market well?

Property prices in Singapore have been falling since 2014, 10 consecutive quarters to be exact. In the first quarter of this year, HDB flat prices have stabilised at 0.1 per cent while private property prices have dipped 0.7 per cent. In 2015, HDB flat and private property prices fell an average of 0.4 and 0.9 per cent respectively.

Kingsford WaterbayPhoto: Kingsford Waterbay condominium 

HDB flat prices have begun to stabilise of late, though some property analysts are still expecting a further drop in the second half of the year as 25,000 new BTO flats reach completion this year. A good 30 per cent of these new-flat buyers are upgraders and home owners, not investors, which means they will be looking to sell their existing HDB flat in order to finance their new flat. This will bring a new slew of units into the resale HDB flat market. Though the demand for resale flats has not waned much, the rise in supply may put the ball in the buyers’ court.

 Photo: Clementi Gateway BTO flats

Similarly in the private property and EC (executive condominium) market, buyers will need to time their upgrading manoeuvre in order to manage cash flow, thus some may be in a rush to let go of their existing unit which could put further pressure on the market which will be seeing 21,906 new private condominium and 4,561 EC units enter its midst this year. How will the property sector perform in this crucial second quarter of 2016?

Fewer resale flats entering HDB market

A good number of new HDB flats have reached or will soon reach the end of the minimum occupation period (MOP), and despite the expected slew of relatively new resale HDB flats entering the market, the situation is contrary.

CIty View Boon KengPhoto: City view @ Boon Keng (credit: Hoi Hup Realty Pte Ltd)

Some units in prime locations and prime developments such as the Pinnacle @ Duxton and City View @ Boon Keng may have fetched record prices, but most owners are not in a rush to put their units up for sale as the resale market is currently slow.

In 2010, 1,338 units were sold within a year of reaching their MOP, about 13.7% of the number of newly eligible flats. By last year, there were only 388 such transactions, at about 6%. Though private property prices have fallen, the gap between public and private housing remains considerable; and with a slowing market, resale flats may not be able to command the prices of before.

Pinnacle @ Duxton was awarded the 2011 Urban Land Institute (ULI) Global Awards for Excellence. Image by HDB.

Pinnacle @ Duxton. Image by HDB.

The upperhand-tussle between buyers and sellers have been ongoing for the past 4 to 5 years, and the undercurrent uncertainty of late have not aided the situation. It may be a matter of “who blinks first” as buyers and sellers both wait out this iffy period. More flat owners are instead beginning to sublet their flats after meeting the MOP. The next big move which might shake things up would be possible changes to the property cooling measures.

Wander-ful Wandervale

The year is starting off strong for the executive condominium (EC) segment as the latest addition to the market. The 534-unit Wandervale EC in Choa Chu Kang is already half sold within the first weekend of its launch last week.

Photo credit: Sim Lian

The average price is currently at $755 psf and response has been overwhelming, with a record-high subscription rate and first-weekend-conversion for over a year. Wandervale will join the other Choa Chu Kang EC, Sol Acres and 2 more are expected to join their ranks by the end of the year. Sol Acres was launched last August and also sold well at $780 psf, with 247 units sold within the launch weekend.

The demand for executive condominiums have remained steady, with a almost-certain potential of value appreciation as they qualify for public housing grants on the initial purchase but become valuable private properties after a 10-year period. Location however could play a big part in determining the sales success. Since its launch in September last year, Criterion EC in Yishun has only sold 76 units at a median price of $807 psf. The Signature, also in Yishun, has sold 116 units at $768 psf as of January this year. Some of the more popular EC projects launched last year included The Brownstone on Canberra Drive, Westwood Residences and The Vales.

Resale HDB flat prices up again

HDB resale flat prices have risen for 2 consecutive months this year, with a 0.2% rise in February. More than a distinctive market rebound, property analysts are embracing the slight adjustments as a sign of market stabilisation.

JurongEast HDB FlatIn fact, the market has been stable for the past year and a half, with less than 1 per cent fluctuation. It is still however, the buyers’ market. The number of resale HDB flat transactions have fallen, which could mean that demand is slowly waning, and the price point may be what the buyers are focused on. With the transparency of transaction data and statistics, more options made available such as singles now being able to apply for 2-room flats directly from HDB, and the injection of 9,000 new BTO flats into mature estates this year, buyers are more savvy and will only take the bait if the deal is truly good.

1,200 resale flats exchanged hands last month, down from 1,286 in January but still up from 1,148 last year though the lull could have been due to the year-end festivities. Industry experts are expecting resale HDB flat prices to remain flat this year, with an increase of transactions up to July when a fall in activity is expected during the Hungry Ghost Festival month.

Bidadari – Future Boomtown

In the most recent Housing Board’s sales exercise, which included 236 new BTO flats in Bidadari, the 5-room and multi-generation flats in this mature estate were more than 12 times oversubscribed, with most applicants being second-timers. That could signify how much potential the public saw in the new HDB estate, so much so that they were willing to try again.

Bidadari HDB estatePhoto credit: HDB

The new flats in Bidadari will also include new 2-room flexi units for senior citizens. Although singles are now allowed to purchase new 2-room flats directly from HDB instead, they are limited to flats in non-mature estates, and thus do not qualify to purchase 2-room flats in Bidadari under the Single Citizen Scheme if they were to purchase on their own.

AnchorvaleAs February’s launch was the first for 2016, the number of applicants indicated that housing demand remains high, while property curbs could have limited options. In the same exercise, flats in West Plains @ Bukit Batok were more than twice oversubscribed and those in Anchorvale Plains in Sengkang saw almost 7 applicants vying for one unit.

Anchorvale boasts views of the Punggol Reservoir and is close to a LRT station, which could explain its popularity. Buyers with limited resources might choose to go for units in non-mature estates and Sengkang is as good an estate as any, with promises of waterside living and the new Punggol township just next door.