Resale condominium market in gradual recovery

Could a slice of sunshine be sliding its way back into the local private property market? Resale condominium prices have risen 1.1% in January and it’s a bigger increase than the 0.5% in the last 2 months of 2016.

RivervaleCrestAnd as expected, non-landed private residential properties located in prime districts lead the way, with a 1.9% month-on-month increase. Central region properties also gained 1.5% in terms of prices while that of suburban properties rose by 0.4%. In a year-on-year comparison, resale prices were 0.3% higher than in the same period of 2016.

In some districts, resale properties exchanged hands at lower-than-market value, though the price difference at minus $4,000 is lesser that the $5,000 in December. District 23 posted more than 10 resale transactions in January alone and selling prices went as high as $2,000 above market value.

GrandeurParkResidencesThough the year is still young, it could be a budding sign of the things to come for the rest of the year. Property analysts are not expecting sharp rebounds anytime soon, though the stabilisation of prices and an increase in sales volume would already be sufficient to signify market recovery, albeit a gradual one. What could also be seen from the market data was that sellers were beginning to moderate their asking prices, possibly with pressure coming in from new property launches and completed new units entering the weak rental market.

 

Demand for well-located properties remain high

Properties near MRT stations often bring in the buying crowds. And there will be 2 such properties to look forward to in the first half of 2017.

GrandeurParkResidencesThe first is the 720-unit Grandeur Park Residences which is expected to launch in March, near the Tanah Merah MRT station. It’s proximity to transport, the inclusion of a childcare centre and 2 shop units is expected to add value to project. 1- to 5-bedroom units here will range between 420 sq ft and 1,450 sq ft in size. And if prices at the neighbouring The Glades are anything to go by, the units at Grandeur Park Residences may be priced between $1,300 to $1,400 psft.

Situated near East Coast Park and the upcoming Siglap MRT station, is the 843-unit Seascape Residences. With sea views and as one of the first private condominium projects to come up in the area in the last decade and a half, this new project along the coastline may make quite the splash on its launch. Prices are expected to hover between $1,550 to $1,650 psf.

SeasideResidencesDespite a weak economy and the property cooling measures, demand for new homes remain resilient and while buyers may be more selective with their purchases, properties which are well-located and offer competitive pricing will still sell. Interest rates remain a uncertain factor impacting market sentiments however, as sudden spikes may affect demand.

Launches of new projects can often boost sales of new homes across the board and this first quarter could very well already set the tone for the rest of the year.

New property launches to welcome by April 2017

Come the fourth month of the year, and the property market will be seeing as many as four new property launches spicing up the mix. Sentiments have been looking up of late as more buyers are coming to terms with the market reaching the bottom of the cycle, and these new launches may welcome increased interest from buyers. Property analysts are expecting up to 9,000 new home sales this year.

ClementiCanopyPhoto credit: www.theclement-canopy.com.sg

The 4 new upcoming launches buyers can look forward to are:

The first project expected to launch as soon as next month is the 505-unit Clementi Canopy. Though recent trend has shown smaller units as being more popular with buyers, this development will feature mainly 2-bedders to 4-bedders sized between 635 sq ft to 1,500 sq ft, with the former making up almost a third of the units.

Paya Lebar Quarter_LendleasePhoto credit: Lendlease

One of the more exciting projects from the list above is Park Place Residences at PLQ. It is Lendlease‘s first residential project in Singapore and the rejuvenation plans for Paya Lebar, to build an integrated development in Paya Lebar Central, may be the nectar that attracts buyers. The project is directly linked to the Paya Lebar MRT station and will also include residential units with a range of 1- to 3-bedroom apartment units, 3 office towers and a retail mall with more than 200 stores. Successes of previous launches and sales of similar projects such as NorthPark Residences and The Poiz Residences are signs of assurance for the developers that take-up rate will be positive.

 

Resale private condo prices up by 0.3%

Resale private non-landed property prices have inched up slightly in November with a 0.3 per cent increase following a 0.7 per cent fall in October.

teresavilleHowever on a year-on-year comparison, prices were 1 per cent lower than November 2015. As more new units enter the market and demand wanes, more sellers have put their properties up for sale below estimated market values. In districts 22 and 27 of Boon Lay, Jurong, Tuas, Sembawang and Yishun, private condominium units have been sold at around $20,000 below the market norm.

But in district 4 which includes Mount Faber, Telok Blangah and Habourfront, condominium prices have been consistent with some buyers even paying up to $25,000 above market value. On a positive note, the margin between the market value and the average selling prices of resale condominiums have been narrowing, as more buyers get used to the stamp duty requirements and additional fees involved and are rather actively seeking good deals.

pebblebaySales volume of resale condo units has also improved 21.3 per cent from last November with the 581 transactions recorded for the month. In the prime districts, prices rose by 2.3 per cent while those in the city fringe dipped 1.5 per cent. Suburban resale private condos fared least well with a 2.6 per cent fall in prices. Analysts are watching the market closely for signs of how it will fare in 2017, and have raised concerns about prices possibly lowering further as more unsold homes seep into the market.

West Coast Vale and Serangoon Road sites to yield more new homes

The Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) has just released a West Coast Vale residential site with a tender closing date of Feb 9 next year, on the back of positive response from 14 developers for a Margaret Drive site.

parcriviera2While property analysts are more prudent with their predictions of response from developers for this site, they are nevertheless expecting 5 to 10 bids. It’s location is perhaps not as ideal as the previously released  Margaret Drive and Martin Place sites, but this 99-year leasehold, 16,378 sq m site is situated near the Jurong Lake District and its many amenities such as office and commercial spaces and also shopping malls such as Westgate and Jem.

A recently launched project nearby is the 752-unit Parc Riviera condominium. Sales for this development has been muted thus far with 130 units sold at around $1,175 psf, but analysts are still expecting a winning bid of between $222.1 million to $246.8 million for this new West Coast Vale site. There are speculations that EL Development might go for the bid in order to manage pricing of new homes in the area.

sennett-residencesOn the private front, the Serangoon Road site on which the National Aerated Water Company sits has also been sold to Malaysia-listed developer Selangor Dredging for $47 million. Unknown to some, the National Aerated Water Company used to distribute popular nostalgic soda pops such as Sinalco and Kickapoo Joy Juice and this site used to house its bottling factory up to the 1990s when operations ceased. As the new owner is planning to convert this industrial site into a residential one which could potentially yield 117 apartment units, there is an additional fee of $22.66 million involved in the transaction. This could very well be a worthy investment as the site is close to the Potong Pasir MRT station and upcoming Bidadari HDB estate, in the increasingly popular city-fringe district 12.

525 potential new residential units near city fringe and nature reserve

hertford-collectionNear Little India and off Toh Tuck Road, the Urban Renewal Authority (URA) has released 2 residential sites that may culminate to a total of 525 private homes. Both sites are released under the Government Land Sales GLS) scheme and have 99-year leasehold tenures.

The first site off Perumal road near Farrer Park MRT station may be of particular interest to developers due to their city fringe location, proximity to a MRT station and its yet unfounded potential. The area is also close to the new medical hub off Farrer park and Novena. The tender for this site closes at noon on Jan 10 and is expected to fetch $280 to $295 million at $800 to $850 psf. The bids may come in strong as there has been a lack of new launches in the area for sometime now, which could mean buyers will be looking for something new to put their money in when the time is right.

connexion-farrer-parkThe only con for this site might be the proximity to the Sri Srinivasa Perumal Temple which could mean a higher noise level especially during festivals. But its location and depending on what other facilities or incentives the new property offers, may overcome all that.

Though the Toh Tuck Road is on the reserve list, should a developer be able to meet the minimum bid set by the authorities, it should still be able to fetch up to $225 million. This site is near the Bukit Batok Nature Reserve and Nature Park plus schools such as Pei Hwa Primary and Ngee Ann Polytechnic which could be rental fodder for expatriates or foreign students.

2016’s demand for properties level with last year’s

Though it may seem like the property market took a turn for the worse this year, figures have shown that the level of demand has remained similar to last year’s.

peak-cairnhillProperty prices have fallen 10.8 per cent since the 2013 peak and perhaps it is precisely this decline of home prices that have kept buyers coming to the table, more so this year than the previous few which have been dull partly due to the property cooling measures implemented since 2013. Some property agents have in fact reported up to a 50 per cent increase in sealed deals this year, indicative of increased buyer’s interest and number of project launches.

The market inertia in terms of the property cooling measures and interest rates may also have been push factors in enticing buyers back into the market. Resale property sales have been strong with 5,587 transactions closed in the first 3 quarters of this year, up 18 per cent from 2015. Developers have also been pricing new units more competitively this year, giving the resale market a run for their money.

the-crestCity fringe and central region resale properties were particularly popular with buyers though some may still be waiting for better deals.  And as property analysts predict a further 3 to 3.5 per cent drop in prices for the rest of the year, the market seems primed for owner-occupiers though those considering investing in properties should wait a little more to get the most out of their buck.

 

Is new the new gold?

New private condominiums that is. The resale private condominium market may have a strong competitor in new private condominiums as prices in this sector become more competitive with developers offering various discounts and incentive payment schemes.

The TrilinqIndicative of the heightened activity in the new condominium sector was the 8.8 per cent rise in transactions last month, from the 468 units in August to the 5o9 units in September. And this was in spite of the lack of major launches. In fact, property analysts are expecting a further 8 to 10 per cent rise in the number of new condo units sold this year. There were 7,440 new residential units sold last year.

The highest sales number of 297 units sold last month came from properties in the city fringe, followed by 144 units in the suburbs and 68 units in the core central region. Some of the best-selling projects were Lake Grande, The Trilinq and Kingsford Waterbay.

queenspeakcondoIt seems, buyers are finally coming to terms with the stabilising of property prices, almost three years after the first property cooling measure was rolled out. They may have relinquished further expectations of price declines and are picking off deals whenever they come up in the market.

There will be 2 major launches next month – Parc Riviera and Queens Peak and new homes sales are expected to cross the 1,000 units per month mark in the next 2 months.