New private home sales rise 17.6%

In a year-on-year comparison, new private home sales has risen a promising 17.6% since last January. With 381 units sold last month, an increase from the 324 from the same month last year and up 3.8 per cent from December’s 367 units, it’s safe to say the year for the new non-landed residential homes market segment has gotten off to a rather good start.

Suburban condominims made the biggest showing with 238 units sold last month. 110 units were sold in the city fringes followed by 33 in the core central region. Parc Riviera came out tops with 38 units sold at $1,270 psf, followed by 25 units at The Trilinq at $1,399 psf. Developers have been aggressive in their marketing and pricing strategies, offering discounts and lowering prices to make it palatable overall to increasingly savvy buyers.

parcriviera2The new property launch earlier this month, Clement Canopy, together with last weekend’s launch at Grandeur Park Residences, and upcoming launches at Park Place Residences and Seaside Residences, will be a boost to the quarter’s sales volume.

While no quick nor drastic rebound is expected for the year ahead, industry experts are nevertheless hopeful about the performance of this market sector. They expect demand to hold steady and a sales figure of about 7,000 units. Essentially, the pins holding down the pricing structure are the cooling measures though there might be a bit of give should the interest rates change.

Demand for Hong Kong properties continue to climb

Home prices in Hong Kong are escalating despite the government’s attempts to curb the rapid and steep climb.

OneKaiTak1Photo credit: www.onekt.com.hk/

Buying a resale private property from the secondary market has become difficult due to the heavy stamp duties levied by the Hong Kong government on open market homes in an effort to curb rising property prices and a ballooning market. Stamp duties for first-time local buyers are particularly high and the move has slowed down activity in the secondary market considerably. Instead, it has created a demand for new homes in the primary market. Since homes in this market are sold directly by the developers, they are able to adjust home prices according to market demand and requirements, sometimes even offering incentives and discounts.

In the first month of 2016, the demand for new homes fell by 76 per cent. In the same time this year, it rose by 48 per cent. A complete turnaround. With the current lack of interest and activity in the secondary market, developers are  ceasing the current window of opportunity by its neck and adjusting prices according to rising demand. And the demand is high indeed. At China Overseas Land & Investment‘s new residential project situated on the site of the old Hong Kong airport, One Kai Tak, all 188 units were sold out in a single day last month.

OneKaiTak3Buyers may ramp up their buying speed and fervency in the months ahead, as they pre-empt the possibility of the Hong Kong government implementing further curbs on the market, in particular on individuals who sell their properties to purchase new ones.

Luxury market makes for a suitable investment playground

Recent news of veteran banker and one of Singapore’s richest men, Wee Cho Yaw’s latest property purchase of 45-units at the luxury property, The Nassim for $411.6 million, may have reignited interest from potential buyers of high-end luxury apartment units.

Seascape at Sentosa Cove.

Seascape at Sentosa Cove.

Although property prices have fallen last year, the rate of decline has slowed and the luxury market has fared considerably better than the other property segment. Prices of high-end properties in prime districts, particularly in the Central Business District, Orchard road and Tanglin areas, have fallen 1.2 per cent last year. But the fall is still lesser than the 2.8 and 3.4 per cent in the city fringe and suburbs respectively. This segment also clocked more transactions last year, an increase of 48.7 per cent from 2015. Home sales in the city fringe and suburbs rose by 27.2 and 3.7 per cent.

Meyer Road Bunaglow2Property analysts are confident that the luxury market will find its footing more firmly this year as the supply of high-end properties will increase in the next few years. Though rents have fallen, those who have the holding power will come out tops in the long run, when the property cooling measures are relaxed. Most sellers put a 15 to 20 per cent premium on the value of freehold properties. Property auctions and en bloc sales could be activities to watch this year, especially for those with cash to spare and the financial endurance to last through at least the next few years.

 

Consumer confidence in property market improving

Though gradual, the property market seems to be coming out of a long hibernation and there are some bright sparks to make 2017 a warm one.

VIIOThe supply and inventory stock is gradually diminishing, by 8.4 per cent at the end of last year, aided by the restriction in land supply by the government last year, the key word being gradual. Fortunately, the decline in home and rental prices have also been gradual, with no sudden collapse. Last year’s rate of decline of overall private home prices was at a 3-year low, at 3.1 per cent. The 2 years before saw a 3.7 and 4 per cent decline, counting backwards.

QuinterraBy now, consumers and investors are used to the price decline, which has been a regular occurrence since 2013 when the property cooling measures began to kick in. In the current market, any news of slower price declines will be good news, and of stabilisation, even better news. Private home prices have finally landed on a level where an increasing number of buyers find affordable and investment-worthy, which explains the boost in new home sales from 7,440 in 2015 to 7,972 last year.

Properties in the core-central region fared the best in the second half of 2016, while non-landed homes in the city fringe and suburbs registered 2 and 0.6 per cent drops respectively. Landed properties fared unexpectedly well with a 0.8 per cent price increase in Q4. Property analysts are expecting property prices to bottom out this year, which could the year when the property market bottoms out. The authorities do not yet seem to show any signs of easing the property cooling measures, at least not in the first half of the year.

Plans for 6,000 new HDB units along East Coast Park

The new private condominium, Seaside Residences, and her sea views may have competition yet from the public housing sector in the form of new Build-to-order (BTO) flats along East Coast Park.

MarineParadeHDBflatThe authorities are looking at building 6,000 new BTO flats in the Bayshore district. The last public housing flats to be built here were in the 1970s – the current ones in Marine Parade which are wildly popular in the resale market likely for its proximity to many schools and the city centre, the sea views and the many transport options and amenities offered by this mature estate. With the upcoming Thomson-East Coast Line, properties in the area may become even more in demand with property buyers and investors. Resale HDB flats in Marine Parade have been known to fetch up to $900,000 in recent months.

In a 60 hectare plot bounded by Bayshore Road, East Coast Parkway, Bedok camp and Upper East Coast road, the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) has called for master plan pitches for the Bayshore district which will also include land area put aside for 6,500 private homes. The authorities are looking at developing the area into a residential, car-lite district. There has been concerns raised about the influx of population which might put a strain on transport networks, amenities and the Changi General Hospital in Simei. The future 12,500 new homes may possibly change the idyllic atmosphere this area is specifically known for.

2017 to welcome more bulk sales?

As Qualifying Certificate (QC) deadlines close in on more residential projects, bulk sales could the difference between having to pay hefty penalties and escaping by the skin of their teeth. The Qualifying Certificate which developers are issued with once they purchase a private residential land plot binds them in a contract to finish building the project within 5 years of acquiring the land and to sell all units within 2 years of obtaining a temporary occupation permit (TOP). Should there be remaining units after this time, the developers will be required to pay extension charges.

nassimhillcapitalandPhoto credit: CapitaLand

The Qualifying Certificate which developers are issued with once they purchase a private residential land plot binds them in a contract to finish building the project within 5 years of acquiring the land and to sell all units within 2 years of obtaining a temporary occupation permit (TOP). Should there be remaining units after this time, the developers will be required to pay extension charges.

iLiv@GrangeThe most recent bulk sale of the 45 remaining units at The Nassim has helped developer CapitaLand avoid having to possibly pay up to millions of dollars worth of penalties as their QC deadline is in August this year. Mr Wee Cho Yaw, chairman emeritus of United Overseas Bank has paid $411.6 million for the 45 units with a strata area of 16,466 sq m at an approximate 18 per cent discount on the current sale price of individual units. The development consists of 55 units housed in eight 5-storey blocks, and the other 10 units have been sold to individual buyers.

Other recent bulk sales include the 156 units sold at a 16 per cent discount at Nouvel 18 and 30 units sold at a 23 per cent discount at iLiv@Grange. Though this enbloc exit of units may relief the unsold inventory of some pressure, more completed units are entering the market this year and may we could be looking at more bulk sales in the year ahead.

 

Fierce bids for Perumal Road land site

A mixed-use land site on Perumal road which could potentially yield 200 private homes and an entire floor of commercial spaces have attracted bullish bids from property developers since its release in November last year.

Sturdee-Residence11 bids have been placed, the highest at 4.4 per cent more than the next in line came from Low Keng Huat at $174.08 million. The second highest bid came from China Construction (South Pacific) development. The keen activity in the land sales sector could translate into a competitive primary and thereafter secondary market which will in turn mean a ready pool of buyers who are ready to spend after the prolonged market lull over the past few years.

Average selling prices at this site is expected to hover around $1,700 psf due to the high land cost and also its proximity to the Farrer Park MRT station and other amenities such as City Square Mall and Mustafa Centre. The neighbouring plot where Sturdee Residences stands only lodged at $787 psf.

The lack of land sites available for sale in the earlier part of 2016 could have resulted in pent up demand from developers who are looking to replenish their lank banks in preparation for 2018 and beyond when market recovery is expected to happen. Property analysts are already seeing signs of market stabilisation and developers who prepare ahead of the recovery could just catch buyers at an opportune time.

 

Private resale property market to cruise on status quo

2016 proved to be a roller coaster year for the private home market, as prices fluctuated throughout the year but never quite settled into an upward swing. Price increases lasted hardly a quarter before turning the opposite direction and movements differed between regions as well.

SeletarParkResidencesAcross the board, resale private home prices rose 0.1 per cent. Most of the increase were for properties in the prime districts. Prices here rose 1.8 per cent while falling 0.9 per cent and 0.4 per cent in the city fringe and suburban districts respectively. Location continues to rule buyers’ decision-making process and prime district home prices remained stable despite the year-end lack of market activity.

As the rental market continues to wane and competition from completed properties put further pressure on rental prices, more private condominium unit owners may be pushed to sell this year as they come to the end of their 4-year holding period, after which they will have to foot their sellers’ stamp-duty bill. Buyers of resale units could have the upper hand when it comes to negotiations in these cases.

NathanResidencesThe number of private apartment units sold have been falling as well, with 484 units sold as compared to the 618 sold in November. Though the numbers are higher than the 453 units sold in December 2015, it is still a far cry from the 2,050 in April 2010 – a 76.3 per cent fall in fact. Property analysts are expecting prices and sales volume to maintain their current levels, though 2017 could be more a year of keeping the status quo than quick recovery.