Why property cooling measures are here to stay

ABSD, SSD, TDSR, QC – These abbreviations related to property cooling measures implemented over the course of 5 years have taken root in the local real estate and construction industry and despite a much quieter market, may not go away anytime soon. And with good reason.

Aeon MelbourneThe demand for properties in other major Asia-pacific countries and cities such as Hong Kong, China, Australia and Japan have not seem to wane, reflected by soaring home prices in Hong Kong, Sydney, Melbourne and various top-tier cities in China. And this is despite their governments placing more restrictive regulations in place in efforts to curb investment outflow and property speculation. But perhaps it could be the case of too-little-too-late. And it also goes to show that investors are still looking for markets to hedge their funds and the pool of willing China investors looking to take capital out of their country agains a depreciating yuan.

CasaAerataIn Singapore, despite a gradually decline in home prices, the market has remained resilient and a untimely lifting of property curbs may result in a quick and unrecoverable increase in property speculation. In fact, despite the series of property curbs instrumented since 2013, the property cycle seems to already be reaching the bottom, which could only mean a turnaround possibly within the year. Last year, resale volume rose 28 per cent and total sales increased by 16 per cent from 2015, indicative of a recovering, or at least stabilising, market.

China clamping down on investment outflow

The Chinese have been known to be big spenders in many real estate markets worldwide, thus the recent clamping down on investment outflow by the Chinese government has markets all over the globe in a little bit of a tizzy as Chinese buyers are now finding it increasingly more difficult to transfer funds out of China in payment for the properties they have previously purchased. In an announcement on Dec 31, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (Safe) stated that all buyers of foreign exchange must now sign a pledge to not use their US$50,000 quota for offer shore property investment.

SydneyCondoDarlingSquareThis may put a crimp in things as many real estate markets may find themselves missing out on this potentially huge audience pool as Chinese buyers are now shying away from foreign investments due to the difficulties involved in trying to bring their monies offshore. While the move may not deter the major buyers, first-time buyers with a lack of offshore assets and expertise in capital-manuvering may be forced to relinquish their offshore real estate purchases despite having already made deposits of previous scheduled payments.

Those who violate the new ruling may be denied access to foreign currency for up to 3 years, be added to a government watch list and may be investigated for money-laundering. The regulation also applies to companies with corporate outflows, requiring them to provide clear documentation with regards to outbound monies. The use of foreign currency for real estate has always been banned, but the authorities are serious this time, as seen in their request for additional documentation.

Hong Kong’s property prices expected to rise further

As one of Asia’s, if not the world’s, most expensive cities to live and work in, it comes as no surprise that the real estate in Hong Kong is one of the world’s costliest.

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Photo credit: www.onekt.com.hk

Despite the Hong Kong government‘s repeated attempts to cool the market, with implementation of stamp duties and laying down of other purchasing restrictions, property prices in Hong Kong have continued to climb. And things could be heating up even more this year as even Mr Li Ka Shing, the country’s richest man, predicts the market still have room for property prices to climb further. In November last year, private property prices reached a peak unseen since 1979 when the data was made available by the city’s rating and valuation department.

Although there has been some political unrest, mostly civil, in the city and interest rates have been on the rise, there is still space apparently, for slight rise in prices this year. It will not be a smooth ride up, but there will be increments made nonetheless. China Overseas Land and Investment for example has listed the prices of their latest private residential development in the former Kai Tak airport area for almost 20 per cent higher that the same which were sold in August. In a city where liveable land is scarce, developers have been known to pay exorbitant prices for land sites, for example the record ids for sites in the same Kai Tak airport area for US$1.8 billion or S$2.58 billion.

 

Singapore gains traction as property investment safe haven

A little red dot, almost invisible in the huge map of the world. But as political and economic turmoil rock the majority, Singapore is increasingly considered by many global investors as a safe haven for foreign funds.

Asia SquareThe strength of the SingDollar, coupled with a relatively stable political climate has provided foreign investors with the assurance that their monies are well-protected. Thus far, $8.85 billion has reportedly been spent by foreign investment on Singapore property, a 62 per cent increase from last year, the highest in 9 years and making up 41.7 per cent of total property spending in 2016. In 2015, the total foreign monies invested in the local property market was $5.46 million and in 2014, $4.67 million. Qatar Investment Authority was a major foreign player this year, putting in $3.4 billion for Asia Square Tower One. Also in the Marina Bay area, a white site in Central Boulevard has been bid on and won by Wealthy Link of IOI properties at $2.57 billion. Projected to be up for sale next year are Jurong Point Mall and Asia Square Tower Two.

Though the commercial property rental market has dulled slightly, the lack of new office spaces being developed within the next 3 to 4 years might help the rental market eventually gain traction. 2020 might be the watershed year when the market is projected to rebound significantly and most investors are willing and able to financially wait out the next few years ahead.

marina-bay-suitesIn the residential market, a number of en bloc sales were successfully tendered this year, with Qingjian Realty’s $638 million for Shunfu Ville taking the spotlight. The sharp increase in interest this year could be the fact that other markets in Asia have been on the upturn in the past decade, and although Singapore has been priced out in terms of capital gains due to an economic slowdown during this time, she has more than made up for lost time with this year’s results.

 

Indian cities top in list of Asia’s property investment hotspots

India may not have previously come up as a potential goldmine for property investors, but real estate in some Indian cities have been creeping up the popularity charts and can now be viewed as some of Asia’s most prime investment real estate.

mumbaipropertyJust like in China, a huge country like India will no doubt have some cities which shine over the others. Mumbai and Bangalore have come up tops in a comparative table of 22 Asian markets. With many multi-national companies setting up regional headquarters or back offices in India, it comes as no surprise that commercial properties are key when it comes to real estate investment in India. The migration of locals from smaller cities and townships into these main cities and business hubs also mean a demand for rental properties are on the rise.

Singapore has fallen from its 11th place to 21st as residential property prices declined for 12 consecutive quarters. Even Tokyo, which topped the list at first place this year, have fallen to 12th place for next year as low interest rates see sellers holding on to their properties despite low vacancy rates. Japan’s declining economy also has a part to play in the market sentiments there.

newyorkapartmentThe mainland Chinese investors are some of the largest players in real estate markets across the globe, but they have begun to turn their attention away from Asia to markets further north such as London and New York. Property prices in China are soaring, and their yearning for foreign footholds and connections have brought them into both established markets in the West and emerging ones in the region.

Scope for property investment opportunities in Vietnam widen

As Singapore-based property developers deepen their foray into emerging Southeast Asian markets, the opportunities for investment are increasing. Not only are residential projects viable investment options, but commercial and industrial spaces are also added to the mix.

d1mensionPhoto credit: CapitaLand

CapitaLand for example, is investing US$500 million (S$713 million) into commercial property in Vietnam come 2017. They will also be looking into acquiring more residential development sites to add on to the 9 which they have already launched since they established their presence in Vietnam in 1994. Major wealth management funds are indicating interest in investing in Asian real estate and many of these emerging markets are untapped pools of potential.

d1mension2Photo credit: d1mension.co

One of the most recent developments is a residential project in Ho Chi Minh city named the D1mension, suitably so as it stands on prime district 1 land. The project will consist of a 102-unit residential block as well as a 200-unit serviced apartment block which will be operated under the Somerset brand. More than half of the 30 units launched in the residential tower have already been sold and more will be launched next month. Private residential properties in Vietnam have been selling well as the middle class grows and rapidly. CapitaLand has already sold more than a third of the 1,700 units they have in stock with total sales accumulating to $114 million. The rising suburban class and increased foreign business investment will mean a higher demand for housing.

CDL reports positive growth despite property lull

With a whooping 60.1 per cent spike in net profits in the third quarter, City Developments (CDL) seems to be shaking off the market gloom early. Their Q3 net profit rung in at $170.3 million.

gramercyparkPositive public response and strong sales from their properties, both local and international, have contributed to their recent success. At their latest launch, Forest Woods condominium, sales have hit the 70% mark at the considerable price of $1,400 psf. The project has a total of 519 units. They are fully sold at their 616-unit Jewel@Buangkok condominium development and almost all of its 40 units released at the 174-unit Gramercy Park have also been snapped up.

At the 944-unit Coco Palms condominium in Pasir Ris and the 638-unit The Brownstone executive condominium in Sengkang, they are also 91 and 80 per cent sold respectively. Such promising numbers considering the current global economic uncertainty will put them ahead of their competitors and help them pave a strong foundation for the journey ahead.

The Brownstone ECCDL also has properties overseas which are doing well, including the Hanover House project in Reading, Britian. The group is also expanding their suite of investments into other areas such as hotel operations, investment properties and management. Moving forward, investors can looking forward to more international properties being added to the list of potential investment opportunities.

New Vietnam properties hook buyers

It seems a few private residential ‘townships’ are coming up in Vietnam, and at the welcome of investors and those seeking a place to call home.

palm_cityOne of Singapore’s major developers, Keppel Land has been developing massive properties in Ho Chi Minh, where the expatriate population is growing and the rental demand for housing has increased by leaps and bounds in the last decade. 3 of Keppel Land’s major developments in the mamking are – Empire City, Palm City and Riviera Point.

Palm City on its own is already quite a force to be reckoned with. Jointly developed by Keppel Land and Tien Phuoc and Tran Thai, it covers a good 30 hectares of waterfront land, essentially an entire township itself. In Phase 1 of its development, all 135 landed terrace and detached houses have already been fully spoken for in their July preview. Now in Phase 2, they have launched the 816-unit Palm Heights apartments, with 570 units already booked at the average price of 32.6 million Vietnamese dong (S$2,017) per sq m.

riviera-pointOver at the 518-unit The View private apartments at Riviera Point, almost 33% of the 345-units launched have been sold. The selling price average at 37 million dong (S$2,302) per sq m. The developments in Ho Chi Minh seem be all be larger-sized high-rise ones. Yet another 500-unit private residential condominium project will be coming up within the year – Empire City, also a waterfront development in the Thu Thiem New Urban Area.