New private condos threaten Rental Market

As more new private condominiums in the suburbs attain their occupation-ready status, the number of apartments available for rental has increased significantly and fierce competition has brought rental prices down. Though concentrated mainly in the suburbs, where most of the new condominiums are situated, the decline has dragged the rental market down by 1.5 per cent.

FOresta Mount FaberAnd as most of these new condominiums are in close proximity to HDB flats, the HDB rental market has also been affected somewhat as tenants now realised they may be able to afford a private condo after all and instead choose this option over HDB flats. And as this pressure is exerted on the HDB market, some HDB flat owners may consider jumping over to the private property market and the HDB resale flat sector may see some shifting as a result of the spillover effect.

From January to September of this year, there were a total of 6,621 condominium units entering the market in the suburbs alone. This has pushed rental prices down 5.3 per cent and a 1.3 drop in the number of rental deals signed in September alone. However, a year-on-year comparison with 2013 showed an increase of 11.8 per cent in terms of the number of units leased. This could signify a shift of tenants leasing private properties as opposed to HDB flats as the price gap narrows.

Eight RiversuitesMoving forward, 2015 and 2016 may see a vacancy rate of 10 per cent and more if immigration policies remain the same and if rental prices become even more competitive with up to 20,000 new units reaching completion annually. Is this a sign that the cooling measures have worked? Or is it merely a sign that investing in residential property may have to take a different slant, to focus on long-term profits through property appreciation rather than on short-term rental profits? How does that then change the criteria for property selection?

New properties lower overall rent

Though the government has reduced land sales in the second half of the year, a fresh new crop of properties reaching their point of maturity in the next year may have some effect on the rental prices of private properties across the board. In 2013 alone, 16,000 new non-landed properties entered the market and 25,000 more are expected to flood the market by 2016.

Shore Residences on Amber Road

Shore Residences on Amber Road

Tenants will have more rental options ranging from units in brand-new condominium to those at older private apartments as a large supply of condominiums enter the market next year. And as most tenants in a new development receive keys to their units at the same time, they may face competition from one another as they put up their units for rent at the same time. Older neighbouring properties as well as HDB flats may also face the same competition as tenants opt for newer choices. Rental prices may waver and some landlords may find themselves having to lower the rent to secure a suitable tenant.

Landlords may find themselves competing for the same and somewhat decreasing tenant pool, especially with concurrent restrictions placed on the foreign workforce. Diminishing expatriate housing allowances may also mean tenants may be looking out of the city centre for rental options. And though most of the new properties are situated out of the central region, the sheer supply may overshadow the demand.

Take the Katong, Joo Chiat and Amber road district for example. In that small area, there is The Shore Residences, Silversea, The Meyerise amongst other older properties. And in the up-and-coming Punggol and Sengkang regions, there is a good mix of ECs and private condominiums such as A Treasure Trove, The Luxurie and the latest launch of Bellewaters. It could very well be the battle between the new and newer in time to come as many new homes are erected in already-new clusters of private homes.

Downturn for Downtown homes

The luxury property market has taken a downturn as homes in the downtown areas take a hit. Transactions were still taking place, and there were homes being resold, but an increasingly number of them at a loss. Recent transactions show a $60,000 loss in the resale of a Marina Bay Residences unit just last month. One of the largest differences came from a $342,000 loss from a subsale of a Robinson Suites unit.

eMuch of the competition comes from unsold stock from developers, a dipping rental market and a diminishing expatriate population. The first factor could be the most hurtful to investors as some developers have begun adjusting prices downwards, and even renting out unsold units instead of selling them. This puts up fierce competition for buyers who have originally planned for their properties to earn them the monthly sustenance through rental. Even small apartments and and one-bedders are meeting similar fate.

Downtown home prices have fallen 8 per cent, and properties in the prime districts 9 and 11 have fallen 5 per cent. Ultimately, it may come down to holding power. And learning some tricks of the trade through property seminars and talks could be the best way to safeguard yourself from bad investments.

Blooming Balestier

Although it has had the reputation of being a red-light district, albeit a less infamous one compared to the likes of Desker road and Geylang, its proximity to the Novena medical hub and being on the city fringe has brought the value of its properties up. With a new round of property launches and mixed-use properties such as hotel-parks like the Zhongshan Mall, Zhongshan Park, the Days and Ramada hotels, the Balestier area looks set to be the next property hot spot.

Viio BalestierWith its fair share of pre-war preservation shophouses and a quaint, historical feel, just the right amount of new condominiums, hotels and malls has breathed some new life into the area without taking away too much of its original facade. This, coupled with expatriates’ diminishing housing packages, means an increasing interest in rental and sales of properties here.

One of the latest residential projects, Viio @ Balestier, has launched its two-bedders at $1, 600 psf. At Ascent @ 456, prices hovered around $1,477 psf. Cosmo Loft, yet another freehold property in the district sold 5 units at $1, 775 psf. Prices of new launches in the area have risen over the past 2 years alone, up by almost 10 per cent.

Though property owners who had bought into the area early may not be reaping the profits yet as resale property sales and rental demand has dipped across the board, property experts are expecting things to turn around in another 7 years or so.

Marina One Residences breathes new life into Marina Bay

Activity at the Marina Bay district may see a boost as new units at the Marina One Residences were launched over the weekend. With its exclusive CBD address, the 1,024-unit residential development may see a more positive uptake as property cooling measures could have kept prices at a reasonably affordable range for investors.

Those with strong holding power and are looking for properties with a high growth potential may consider the Marina One development quite seriously. With one- to four-bedder apartments available in the mixed-use development, residents will be in close proximity not only the entertainment areas, the Central Business District but also the Marina One offices and the 65,000 sq ft retail podium, The Heart. Prices are set to hover around $2, 600 psf. Over the past year, prices averaged between $1, 945 to $2,694 psf.

Marina One residential project with 1,042 new condominium units. Photo by marina-one.org.

Marina One residential project with 1,042 new condominium units. Photo by marina-one.org.

Buyers of units in the Marina Bay area, such as those at Marina Bay Residences, Marina Bay Suites and The Sail @ Marina Bay, have seen profits ranging from $60,000 to close to $1 million. Other properties in the area include V on Shenton.

With the Marina One Residences being one of the rare freehold apartments in the area, property experts are expecting its value to hold steady or increase over the years. Despite resale prices falling up to 8 per cent, and with expatriates now moving into less central areas such as the suburbs due to their housing allowance curbs, smaller units are still expected to do well as the mid- to senior-level foreign workforce may still favor the convenience and proximity of units in the CBD.

For this sector of the market, the main change which came about from the implementation of the TDSR (total debt servicing ratio) framework by the MAS (Monetary Authority of Singapore) is that buyers may now dictate how owners and developers price their units.

Shoebox apartments falling out of favor?

These tiny but self-sufficient apartments have been doing exceedingly well for the last five years, and many investments favored these smaller units as their total quantum is more affordable than the larger ones and are easier to find tenants for. But as developers caught on and began building more of the same units, the number of shoebox apartments, or units below 500 sq ft, rose in number. By 2015, 53,900 new private condominium units will hit the market, and most of them will be shoebox apartments.

Alexis @ Alexandra CondoAccording to URA figures, there are currently 2,400 such units in the market. By end of 2015, there will be 11,000. That is almost five times the numnber. Will this dilute the market of potentla buyers? No doubt. But landlords with units in highly accessible locations may find themselves having the upper hand. Others who own units further away from transport nodes, town centers may find it harder to secure rental rates which they had hoped for.

However current rental yields for shoebox apartments remain 1 to 2 per cent higher than other types of units, which are 2 to 3 per cent. Private properties with such units include Alexis in Alexandra road, Parc Imperial in Pasir Panjang and Suites@Guillemard.

Property analysts still see some brightness in this market as singles, young couples and expatriates with smaller housing allowances continue to lean towards these smaller, more affordable units.

Lakeside Wonder

Things in the West are heating up, especially with the launch of a number of private residential properties, announcements of a new Jurong Lake Gardens, a new retail and commercial hub Jurong Gateway and new transport lines. It’s a whole new township blossoming.

Prices of properties at Lakeside, a largely residential district, has been on the rise, significantly more so since 2009. Lakeholmz condominium apartments were only priced at $440psf in 2003. In 2009 and 2010 respectively, relatively properties such as The Caspian and Lakefront Residences were already costing buyers $580 psf and $1, 020psf. That is almost double in just a year’s time.

LakevilleOne of the newer launches is the Lakeville condominium and current median prices of properties in the area range at $1, 300 psf. Over the past 12 months, prices have ranged between $706psf for older establishments such as Lakepoint condominium to $1,263 psf at Lakefront Residences.

The new malls, businesses and regional offices setting up shop in the area has also brought along with it a new flow of tenants. Thus rental prospects are promising, especially for newer properties. Rental prices above $3 psf and at least 10 leases are signed at each residential property per month.

With a new land parcel up for bids in December, buyers looking to enter the market in the west side of the country could possibly have something to look forward to.

Property market slump continues

Resale home sales and rental prices have continued to soften as we reach the middle of Q3. July proved to be rather quiet for the resale private home market as prices reached a 21-month low, according to the Singapore Real Estate Exchange (SRX) figures.

LakevilleAs more new private properties reached their completion dates and entered the rental market, the number of units for rent increased, which caused the rental market to become more competitive. And as immigration rules tightened, the supply and demand scale tipped in favor of tenants. Rental prices were at a 38-month low last month. And the blow is felt not only in the private property market but also the HDB resale market with prices dropping to a 30-month low in July.

The areas with the largest price decline is the city center, with prices dropping 4 per cent. This is followed by the city fringe areas with a 1.1 per cent dip and the suburban districts with a 0.6 per cent drop. Property experts say that the drop in rental prices could be one of the reasons contributing to the slipping resale prices.

With property prices so closely linked to immigration policies in this small nation, how will the authorities balance the issues of housing and population?