Resale HDB market looking at a year of stabilisation

Transaction volume and prices of resale HDB flats dipped once more last month, following a rise in November. Prices of resale HDB units fell 0.3 per cent in December and 13.9 per cent fewer transactions were recorded in midst of the usual year-end quiet. A total of 1,364 resale flats were sold last month.

bishanloftecLarger units such as the executive flats and 5-room flats saw a bigger price decline of 0.9 and 1 per cent respectively. Prices of rarer 3-room and 4-room units dipped only 0.1 and 0.2 per cent. The steeper decline for the bigger flats could be due to declining private property prices, which may steer some buyers towards that direction. Smaller HDB flats are priced much lower than the same in the private property sector, thus the pool of buyers for these units are considerably more stable though now that singles can apply for 2-room flats directly from HDB, the pool could have diminished slightly.

5-roomhdbPrices of resale HDB units in non-mature estates fell the hardest at 1.2 per cent year on year, possibly due to competition from the rising number of private residences in the suburbs. In mature estates on the other hand, prices have risen 1 per cent. Overall, with prices fluctuation within the 1 to 2 per cent range, analysts consider the market stabilised after years of gradual decline since 2013. The market could be reaching a zero per cent change soon and with the current market levels remaining unchanged, buyers are beginning to take the opportunity to snap up units in the resale market when a suitable deal comes up. Resale transactions may rise up to 15 per cent this year.

Raised income ceiling for HDB grants – Help or Hurt

The income ceiling for the application of HDB grants was raised last year, and till date, the policy change has helped more than 1,500 household secure new or resale HDB flats. Previously, the income cap was $12,000 for executive condominiums, $10,000 per household  or $5,000 for singles. Following the adjustment in August last year, the income cap is now $14,000, $12,000 and $6,000 respectively.

Westwood ResidencesThe Housing Board has cited rising income and an increased demand for public housing as push factors for the change. Some property experts however feel that the move has hurt the private property market as these are potential private property buyers whom the market may have lost out on and whom may have cost taxpayer’s more burden. However, these buyers could also have been sandwiched between the public and private housing markets, unable to afford the latter nor the former without a CPF housing grant.

From the 11,833 new HDB flats and 6,464 resale flats sold within the last year, about 5 per cent and 15 per cent of the purchases would not have been made prior to the income ceiling revisions. The last time the income ceiling was raised by $2,000 was 5 years ago in 2011. The question remains if it is a matter of eligibility or affordability of existing public housing units which detracts a possible remaining group or groups of buyers who may still be unable to purchase resale units despite securing all possible grants.

 

Resale HDB flat market remains stagnant in November

Resale HDB flat prices have remained stagnant for the past couple of years, indicating that the market has stabilised. Though prices have increased by 0.2 per cent last month, sales volume has gone the opposite direction with a 5.3 per cent drop. The minimal rise is likely to be caused by buyers ready to complete transactions before the quiet festive year-end holiday season.

hdb-flat-rentalBetween permanent residents having a longer wait before they can purchase HDB flats and a closing gap between private non-landed homes and resale flats, the market is not looking a rebound anytime soon. As more new flats are being completed and more HDB flat owners receive keys to their new units and demand remains quiet, the scale between sellers and buyers may tip towards the latter.

Sellers of HDB flats in mature estates may fare better as prices here have increased 0.8 per cent in November. Location and proximity to schools, transport nodes and amenities remain the crucial factors in sealing deals. 1,585 resale flats were sold in November, down from 1,673 in October. In a year-on-year comparison however, 18,005 units have been sold, up from 2014’s 17,318 and likely to be comparable to 2015’s 19,306 units. The market stagnation is expected to continue well into 2017, especially as the authorities have not shown any signs of lifting the property cooling measures.

Last BTO flat launch of 2016 brings over 10,000 new units

Photo credit: HDB

Photo credit: HDB

Bringing 2016 to a close, the Housing Board (HDB) has truly brought in the goods with their last and biggest BTO and SBF flats launch this year with over 10,000 units.

The flats in this launch are expected to be particularly popular with applicants as they are in the popular up-and-coming Bidadari estate and also the mature estate of Bedok and Kallang/Whampoa. 5,110 new BTO units will be spread out between these 2 estates while the remaining 2,194 will be in Punggol. Close to 3,000 flats unsold from previous launches will also be put up for sale this time round. This includes executive flats and 2-room flexi units.

Photo credit: HDB

Photo credit: HDB

Earlier launches this year have included units in mature estates such as Ang Mo Kio and Tampines as well. Units in Bidadari have been favoured by young couples and families as it is in a good location in the city fringes, well-served by public transport and near a few schools. The Bidadari development, though new, will be considered a matured one as it is essentially part of the larger Toa Payoh estate. Although singles are now allowed to apply for new flats directly from HDB, they are restricted to only 2-room flats in non-mature estates.

Photo credit: HDB

Photo credit: HDB

Prices of the new BTO flats in the current launch range between $135,000 for a 2-room flat in Bedok to $503,00 for a 5-roomer in the same estate. A 4-room unit in Kallang is priced at $497,000. Prices stated are before the application of grants or subsidies.

The application deadline for this launch will be at 2359 hours on Monday, November 28. The next launch is scheduled for February.

Properties up north gaining popularity

Up north in what was once woodlands is the growing township of well, Woodlands. The estate is groomed to be to the next Regional commercial and business hub where HDB flats, private condominiums and industrial buildings and regional offices reside, all in this area so close to our neighbouring Johor Bahru and where this rural outpost used to be densely populated with only rubber trees.

BellewoodsECTogether with the Seletar Regional Centre and the Punggol Creative Cluster, the Woodlands Regional Centre will form the North Coast Innovation Centre. The region will be efficiently serviced not only with the Woodlands MRT station and bus interchange, but also the upcoming Thomson-East Coast Line which is prepped for operation as early as 2019.

Some of the condominiums which have come up in Woodlands include Northoaks, The Woodsvale and the Bellewoods and Northwave executive condominiums (EC). The latter two being ECs, are rather prime properties as they hold the benefit of being both public and private housing,  Bellewoods EC, situated at the intersection of Woodlands Avenue 5 and 6, do not lack in the suite of amenities and facilities of any other private condominium. It has a clubhouse, indoor gym, tennis court, swimming pool, playground, jogging trail and waterside dining pavilion.

NorthwaveECAwarded the Highly Commended Best Executive Condo Development (Singapore) at the Southeast Asia Property Awards and with a TOP (temporary occupation permit) date of 2017, the 99-year leasehold EC consists of a mix of 2- to 5- bedders in all its 561 units. As it was launched prior to the resale levy rule implemented in December 2013, buyers who have previously purchased a subsidised HDB, DBSS or EC flat are also exempt from paying a resale levy which could be a huge plus as it could save them up to $55,000.

New HDB flats in non-mature estate prove popular

BuangkokWOods1Usually it’s the new HDB flats in matures estates which receive the most applications. But in Wednesday’s launch of 4,841 new Build-to-order (BTO) HDB flats, it were the units in Buangkok woods in Hougang which caught the most attention. In the same launch were units in the mature estate of Tampines and also in the non-mature estates of Sembawang and Yishun. The price difference between 3-room HDB flats in the 2 estates differ by about $20,000 with those in Tampines starting from $202,000 and $185,000 in Hougang.

The lower prices may have been the deciding factor for HDB flat seekers. Units in Yishun were starting from $156,000. As of Wednesday evening, the Hougang flats were already seeing 6 applicants for every 10 units while the 2 projects in Tampines had 2 to 3 applicants for every 10 units.

ValleySpringYishunHDBIncluded in the launch were 2-room flexi flats, which are much sought-after by singles who are now allowed to purchase new flats directly from HDB but only in non-mature estates. As per other HDB flats, they have 99-year leases or shorter ones for the elderly. These popular property-types were almost completely subscribed for within the first day of the launch.

For young families and couples looking for a flat in mature estates, the next launch might prove worthy of the wait, with 2,910 units in popular HDB towns of Bedok, Kallang/Whampoa and Bidadari. The last on the list will probably be of most interest to buyers.

Applications for the current launch will close on Tuesday, 23 August 2016.

Resale HDB flat prices rise in July

Resale HDB flat prices have been stabilising for sometime now, and last month showed a 0.7 per cent rise in prices despite a fall in sales volume. Most buyers were in the market to take advantage of the lower prices, perhaps before an official market price-rise occurs. Three-room flat prices rose the most at 0.6 per cent, with five-roomers following at 0.5 per cent and 0.4 per cent for four-room flats.

HDB flat Jurong WestThe public housing market may be seeing some changes in August as 4,800 Build-to-order (BTO) flats are made available for application in Hougang, Sembawang, Yishun and Tampines which could direct buyers’ attention away from the resale segment. Buyers were mostly those looking for good market deals, and home occupiers might be more interested in the new HDB flats instead. The new executive condominium flats coming into the market may have also diluted interest for similar resale units as prices in this segment fell 0.4 per cent.

HDB SERS West CoastHDB is also revving up its Selective En Bloc Redevelopment Scheme (SERS) where 8 blocks in West Coast Road will be the next recipient of the scheme. Residents will be relocated to surrounding blocks and mature HDB estates will see improvements such as upgrading of toilets, lifts and installation of elderly-friendly features.

Property analysts are expecting the number of resale flat transactions to fall this month as the Hungry Ghost Festival begins, but prices are expected to remain level for the rest of the year.

Singapore home prices remain muted

As long as the property cooling measures are here to stay and global economics remain shaky, home prices may hover at the current levels.

ArdmoreIIIAnd as the government continues to roll out more new build-to-order (BTO) flats while keeping the loan ratio capped at 30 per cent, demand for resale HDB flats may continue its lacklustre run. Although there was a 0.1 per cent rise in HDB prices in Q2, prices were mainly flat and private home prices dipped further by 0.4 per cent, that is following a 0.7 per cent fall in Q1. Some property players have viewed the private property market as possibly reaching the bottom of the cycle.

Since the last market peak in 2013, HDB and private home prices are now 9.8 per cent and 9.4 per cent lower respectively. There have been some signs of recovery in Q2 as private property prices in the core central region (CCR) rose 0.2 per cent. Developers have also been actively seeking out sales by offering creative payment schemes and keeping sales volume to a respectable level.

Considering the average length of a property lull being 8.4 quarters, this cycle may already have reached the end of its run. Will a prolonged cycle mean an even sharper and more drastic rebound when the measures are loosened? How will the market then respond to that and will there be any drawbacks?