Resale condominium prices slide in February

The latest private resale condominium sales figures seem to slightly challenge industry experts’ expectations of the market bottoming out this year.

Marina One ResidencesFebruary’s resale condominium prices fell 0.3 per cent following a 0.1 per cent in January from December last year, indicating further decline in the private non-landed resale property sector. While the numbers could mean the market has yet to bottom out, the slower rate of decline does point towards a state of stabilisation.

The biggest impact was felt in the central region (made up of districts 1 to 4, 9 and 10, the financial district and Sentosa Cove) where a 1 per cent fall was registered following a hopeful 0.5 per cent rise in January. Even in the small-apartments (units 506 sq ft and below) segment, prices fell 0.6 per cent. Resale units outside of the central region however fared better, coming back up top with a 0.3 per cent rise following a 0.6 per cent fall from December.

Oceanfront Sentosa Cove CondoThough market sentiment has been picking up, the overall economic outlook and rising interest rates may not be enough to completely turn the market on its head. Recent tweaks in the property cooling measures may give the industry a little push towards to the direction of recovery, but property analysts are still expecting a 3 to 4 per cent price-decline by end of 2017.

Condominium rents up, HDB rents down

A brieft respite in the rental market presented itself in January and February as increases in condominium rental rates were recorded for 2 consecutive months. HDB rents however slipped slightly.

Draycott8Condominium rents rose 1.1 per cent in February as demand from expatriates is usually high in the first few months of the year. Private residential properties in the prime districts were particularly in demand with a rise of 1.2 per cent in rental rates, while the city fringe and suburban sectors saw a 0.8 and 1.2 per cent rise respectively.

Property analysts are seeing an increase in leasing demand not only due to the influx of a foreign workforce in the beginning of the year, but also because rents are now at a affordable levels and more tenants may be willing to take on larger properties or properties in a more expensive location. Though rents are still 18.1 per cent lower than the peak in 2013, sales volume has increase by 12.6 per cent in comparison to the same period last year.

JurongWestCentralHDBFLatThe number of HDB flats being leased has also increased by 1.2 per cent with 1,477 units rented in February. HDB flat rents have however slipped by 0.8 per cent overall, falling 1.3 per cent in mature estates and 0.3 per cent in non-mature estates. Industry experts are expecting further decline in rents this year, while harbouring hope that 2017 will stabilise the market and bring about a recovery early next year.

Resale private home prices up for 4th consecutive month

3 months into the new year and things seem to be looking up for the resale non-landed private home sector. Prices have been on the rise for the fourth consecutive month with a 0.9 per cent climb last month, following a 0.6, 0.3 and 1 per cent rise respectively in the months counting up from December last year.

ParkInfiniaRecent industry figures have shown a slight recovery in both prices and sales volume in the resale market, mostly due to an overall more upbeat atmosphere boosted by a series of successful new launches within the first 3 months of the year. Approximately 694 private non-landed residential units were resold in February albeit it being the shortest month of the year. That is 31.2 per cent higher than the 529 units which exchanged hands in January though that could have been because of the Chinese New Year holidays.

Comparing year-on-year, resale prices in February this year clocked at 1.8 per cent higher that the last and resale volume was 77.9 per cent higher than the 390 units sold the same month last year. Compared to the price peak in 2014, resale private non-landed home prices is still lagging by 6 per cent, but considering the lull which took over the real estate sector for the past 2 to 3 years, price increases across the island in this segment is a step in the right direction. Prices in the prime districts rose 1 per cent while inching up 0.8 per cent in the city fringes and 0.9 per cent in the outside central regions.

 

New home sales yet to show significant change following SSD tweaks

Perhaps the recent changes in Sellers’ Stamp Duty (SSD) regulations may have no effect on the property market, or it might have a considerable effect. Whichever direction things might go, it is still too early to tell. Sales of new properties following the March 11 announcement has yet to show significant signs of change in terms of concrete figures, but the tweak has however boosted interest in new launches as shown in the response from the public at recent show flats such as that of Marine Blue and Park Place Residences.

MarineBlueCondoWhile earlier launches of The Clement Canopy and Grandeur Park Residences generated positive sales during their launch weekends, things have slowed down in the time following. That is however the general real estate market trend and is no cause for alarm. Most property analysts are glad for the change as it will bring about positive sentiments in the buying market, which could mean more energy, move net and direction in the months ahead. They are not certain this relaxation of the property cooling curbs will have a big impact on the market but are nevertheless happy the government has taken this step in moving forward. The next most likely impact would be the push for those caught in a dither of to-buy-or-not-to-buy.

On the other side, the Federal Reserve has raised their interest rates to 1 per cent and that could affect home loan rates, in turn diminishing demand from property investors.

 

Next major condo launch to watch – Park Place Residences

Following the successful launches of The Clement Canopy and Grandeur Park Residences, The Park Place Residences at the Paya Lebar Quarter (PLQ) previewed on 11 March and developer, Lendlease is more than hopeful about the response.

Paya Lebar Quarter_Lendlease

Photo credit: Lendlease

With a prime location in the developing Paya Lebar regional hub, the 429-unit property will provide fodder for the current pent-up demand in the market. The 99-year leasehold development released 40 per cent or 171 apartment units at its first release a couple of weekends ago. Most of they units made available for selection were 2- and 3-bedders. The Park Place Residences is part of the $3.2 billion Paya Lebar Quarter (PLQ) development which will consist of 3 office towers, 3 residential blocks and a mall. It is jointly developed by Lendlease and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.

The developers are already planning for a second wave of release, where the pricing will be higher and based on the response from the first wave. As interest in smaller, affordably-priced units have been on the rise, buyers will be interested to know that Park Place Residences will have 117 one-bedroom units sized between 480 and 580 sq ft with prices starting at $780,000. The project features mainly two-bedroom units sized between 650 and 900 sq ft starting at $1 million – there are 234 of these units in the project. The remaining 78 units are 3-bedders of between 1,080 and 1,350 sq ft priced at around $1.6 million.

ParkPlaceResidencesThe average selling price is between $1,560 to $1,610 psf. While this is higher than the $1,400 psf median prices of units at The Clement Canopy and Grandeur Park Residences, the location and potential for growth of The Park Place Residences more than make up for it. It will be launched for sale on March 25.

Grand opening launch for Grandeur Park Residences

The latest property development in Tanah Merah has sold more than half of its units over a weekend. Grandeur Park Residences reported strong sales with at least 58 per cent of its 720 units sold during its launch.

GrandeurParkResidencesSmaller apartments seem to be popular once again as the project sold most of the 96 one-bedroom units made available during the launch. Selling prices averaged $1,350 psf. The location, in close proximity to the Tanah Merah MRT station, could be one of the main factors pushing buyers to seriously consider the long-term and rental potential of the property. The condominium project which is also close to the Changi Business Park also has two- to five-bedders with prices starting from $550,000 for a one-bedder and $700,000 for a two-bedroom unit. Though the rental market is weak at the moment, buyers are counting on the property market rebounding by the time the project is ready for occupancy.

GrandeurPark2
Following the first private condominium launch this year of The Clement Canopy, response at the Grandeur Park Residences launch may be an expression of pent-up demand which could release keen albeit selective buyers back into the fold. However, the eagerness to snap up smaller units mean a lower overall quantum which may keep market figures low or at best level.

January’s private home sales plateau

After a slight rise of 0.1 per cent in December, January’s completed private home prices remained flat. There were some rise and fall in the different districts but overall, non-landed residential property prices evened out on a plateau.

CreekBukitTimahThat may not necessary be a negative as signs of stabilisation are generally expected of the year. Property analysts say that some of the zero per cent month-on-month change could also be due to the availability of smaller units with a higher psf pricing schedule. Besides shoebox apartments, studios and one-bedders, family-size units in new developments are also now smaller in size than before.

Small apartments aside, prices of completed condominium units in the central region did rise 0.7 per cent after a 0.3 per cent dip in December. In the non-central regions however, prices went the other direction with a 0.6 fall following a 0.5 per cent increase the month before.

26NewtonThe private real estate market could however be looking at more resale properties entering the pen soon as most buyers who have purchased investment properties in 2013 will have completed their 4-year holding period this year. This means they are no longer tied down by the cooling measure which requires them to pay a seller’s stamp duty should they sell their property within 4 years following the purchase. Whether the sector is ready for this influx of properties while pulling themselves sluggishly out of the lull remains to be seen.

Consumer confidence in property market improving

Though gradual, the property market seems to be coming out of a long hibernation and there are some bright sparks to make 2017 a warm one.

VIIOThe supply and inventory stock is gradually diminishing, by 8.4 per cent at the end of last year, aided by the restriction in land supply by the government last year, the key word being gradual. Fortunately, the decline in home and rental prices have also been gradual, with no sudden collapse. Last year’s rate of decline of overall private home prices was at a 3-year low, at 3.1 per cent. The 2 years before saw a 3.7 and 4 per cent decline, counting backwards.

QuinterraBy now, consumers and investors are used to the price decline, which has been a regular occurrence since 2013 when the property cooling measures began to kick in. In the current market, any news of slower price declines will be good news, and of stabilisation, even better news. Private home prices have finally landed on a level where an increasing number of buyers find affordable and investment-worthy, which explains the boost in new home sales from 7,440 in 2015 to 7,972 last year.

Properties in the core-central region fared the best in the second half of 2016, while non-landed homes in the city fringe and suburbs registered 2 and 0.6 per cent drops respectively. Landed properties fared unexpectedly well with a 0.8 per cent price increase in Q4. Property analysts are expecting property prices to bottom out this year, which could the year when the property market bottoms out. The authorities do not yet seem to show any signs of easing the property cooling measures, at least not in the first half of the year.