Status quo for landed property market this year

Though figures from the last quarter indicated that landed home prices have risen 0.9 per cent, that was following a 2.7 per cent fall in Q3. Property analysts are careful not to yet call it a market rebound as 2017 may pose a difficult year for the economy.

bishopsgateThe landed housing market may continue to feel the pressure this year as cooling measures remain and the economic outlook seems uncertain. In a year-on-year comparison with Q3 of 2013, prices have fallen 14.8 per cent. Overall landed home prices fell 4.4 per cent last year and 4.1 per cent in 2015. The lowered prices could however have been a factor in bringing buyers back. Should sales volume and landed home prices continue to stabilise, the price index may inch up albeit gradually.

There were several considerable transactions in the detached landed house segment and this could have boosted numbers in Q4. One notable sale was for a property in Bishopsgate, at $26.8 million and a couple of others in Holland Park and White House Park at $25.5 million each. Though the Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) framework implemented in 2013 has limited buyers for private properties across the board, it has more effect on the higher-priced property segments as investors here may have more financial commitments.

whitehouseparkDespite a muted landed housing market last and possibly this year, landed homes remain much sough-after and investors in these segments may be bolder in their attempts to close deals this year.

Will property market bottom out soon?

Hopes of a market rebound may be reignited as the bottom of the cycle seems to be in close reach. While private home prices have fallen by 0.4% for the 13th consecutive quarter, the rate of decline of private home prices have been reduced from the 1.5% in 2016’s Q3.

cairnhillresidencesIn 2016, private home prices fell only 3%, the slowest since 2013. Since the third quarter of 2013, home prices have fallen 11.2%, with a 4% fall in 2014 followed by a 3.75% fall in 2013. The projected fall in home value this year is 2% to 3%. While home seekers and investors may be drawn back into the market with the lowered property prices, analysts are not expecting them to splurge.

highlandresidencesIn Q4 of 2016, non-landed private home prices fell 0.7 per cent, led by city fringe properties with a 2 per cent drop. Prices of units in the core central region remained unchanged while suburban home prices fell 0.3 per cent. Units in the core central region have suffered a 1.9 per cent fall in Q3, thus the fact that sales volume have increased while prices remained unchanged could be a good sign for the year ahead.

Landed property prices posted a surprising rise of 0.9 per cent after a 2.7 per cent fall in Q3 while in the resale HDB flat market, prices fell 0.1 per cent.

New homes in District 10 – Victoria Park Villas

Soon to nest in the midst of District 10 will be 106 semi-detached houses and 3 bungalows totalling 403,000 sq ft.

VictoriaParkVillas

Victoria Park Villas is a new development by CapitaLand situated in the junction of Coronation and Victoria Park Roads. Prime area indeed as it is only a 10-mins walk away from Farrer Road and Tan Kah Kee MRT station, not to mention having the selection of many choice schools down Bukit Timah road.

Launching tomorrow, 3 Sept, these 109 homes making up Victoria Park Villas are 99-year lease properties projected to sell at around $2,000 psf. Though on the high side, consumers will have to realise that having your own land even for awhile, will cost. The property sizes will range between 2,153 to 3,835 sq ft for semi-detached houses and 10,904 sq ft to 11, 539 sq ft in floor area for the 3 bungalows. Prices are expected to reach $12 million for the latter. Other similar properties in the King’s Drive, Hillcrest road and Greenwood Avenue have sold for between $906 to $1,351 psf last year.

Ventura HeightsNew cluster landed properties are not a dime a dozen, thus the property size, exclusivity and location Victoria Park Villas offer may very well be worth its calling price. CapitaLand has previously offer deferred payment schemes for their other properties such as d’Leedon, The Interlace and perhaps soon, Sky Habitat and Marine Blue as well. Will they be likely to extend the scheme to their upcoming projects once they are completed?

 

New citizens new buyers of Good Class Bungalows

Buyers and sellers of Good Class Bungalows (GCB) seem to be gradually meeting on the same page as the price gap between them narrows and more transactions were recorded thus far this year – 19 to be exact, valued at a total of $438.17 million. In 2015, 33 GCBs valued at a total of $714.78 million were sold and 28 totalling $626.14 million in 2014. Analysts are predicting up to 30 GCB sales in 2016.

Leedon Road GCBEven though prices of these rare properties have not fallen much at all, investors’ interest seems to not have waned. Developer OUE have just picked up 2 sites from the British government in Nassim road at $1,652 psf for $56.58 million, a steal considering the median price of the area stands at $2,000 psf.

An increasing number of GCB buyers are new citizens, buying over these massive-sized properties from Singaporeans moving between property transactions and investment deals. These buyers see the potential in prime properties and the slightest of price adjustments will spike their interest in their search for property upgrades and prestigious addresses. Recent sales included a $27 million GCB in Gallop road and currently on the market are a $38 million Bukit Tunggal Road GCB sized at 14,000 sq ft and a $30 million Dalvey Road property on a 15,211 sq ft site.

 

Bungalow of Tan Tock Seng’s descendant sold for $145 million

Is paying $145 million for a landed house over the top? Well, there is a first for everything.

The recent sale of a 25,741 sq ft freehold bungalow at 9 Cuscaden road is the first foray into Singapore’s property market for Hong Kong tycoon, Stanley Ho who has made billions through the gambling industry. The bungalow was put up for sale by Tan Tock Seng’s descendants and the site is zoned for hotel redevelopment with a plot ratio of 4.2. The bungalow was originally the family home of Tan Tock Seng’s great-grandson, Tan Hoon Siang and was put up for sale for between $160 to $170 million just last month. Named Villa Marie, it was presumably named after Mr. Tan’s second wife, Marie Windsor.

BungalowsStanley Ho’s Shun Tak Holdings paid $145 million for the prime site, the highest ever paid for a landed property and at $2,145 psf, it is all eyes on what is eventually built. Because of how it was zoned, the transaction was made sans the Additional Buyers’ Stamp Duty (ABSD), which could be a real positive, considering how much the deal cost. Though zoned for hotel redevelopment, there is also the possibility of building residential units up to 20 storeys high. Could Orchard road be seeing a new residential block or hotel in its midst? Will other landed properties possibly be seeing more activity soon?

 

More landed homes sold

Those living in landed housing estates may recently have found a shift in neighbour dynamics as more homes changed hands in the past 2 quarters.

Since beginning of the year to the mid of the second quarter, there has been a 15.3 per cent rise in the number of landed property sales, 316 sales transactions with caveats lodged to be exact. Since the price peak in 2013, prices have come down and may have become more palatable to the buying public. For those hoping to snag a private landed home, now could be the time as prices are unlikely to drop even further.

BishopsgateBungalowLanded home prices have since dropped 7.2 per cent and as the Additional Buyers’ Stamp Duty (ABSD) for second-time buyers will be revised by the end of this year, there is only a 6-month window to avoid paying more in duties. It’s not only home owners and individual investors who are purchasing these landed properties, but also developers who are hoping to turn a single plot of land into a potential cash cow. Older bungalows with their extensive land area are of particular interest to developers hoping to rebuild them into viable modern options. Some of the other buyers include new citizens.  A recent $33 million bungalow sale to a China-born Singaporean was recorded at Bishopsgate.

Other areas with increasing landed property sales include Robin Road, Hillcrest Road and Oriole Crescent.

 

Cluster landed homes – The next goldmine?

Landed homes have always been known to be one of the most expensive properties in land-scarce Singapore and understandably so. And most would think that properties with individual land titles will always be a step ahead of leasehold properties. But apparently strata landed properties, or more commonly known as cluster landed homes, have seen the fastest price rise over recent years.

The four types of landed properties in Singapore are:

  • Leasehold non-strata landed homes
  • Freehold non-strata landed homes
  • Leasehold strata landed homes
  • Freehold strata landed homes

Casa FidelioAnd the last one on the list above have seen speedy rise in value of 77.3 per cent from 2004 to 2008. And the third on the list have been even more popular since 2009, with the fastest rise in capital value of 20.1 per cent a year. This could be due to the fact that most of these cluster homes have been built in the last decade or so, and have better floor planning and a larger floor area due to the fact that they are often built up to at least two storeys. Some older freehold landed properties may come with a land deed, but often extensive renovation have to be done, which raises the cost for the buyer.

Hillcrest-VillaPhoto credit: MCL Land

Examples of the price rise in freehold cluster housing properties can be seen at the Casa Fidelio in Siglap. In 2004, a terraced house cost only $760,000 and by 2008, it was sold for $1.18 million. In 2007, the launch of the Hillcrest Villa in Bukit Timah also pushed prices of cluster landed homes up by almost $1.5 million. Though landed properties are one of the highest profit-earning tickets out there, the cost of such properties in today’s market will require a healthy bank balance and deep pockets. What options are there out there for buyers who wish to invest in such properties? 

 

Mount Sophia and Wilkie Highlights

A bungalow at Wilkie was sold recently. $24 million was the number. No, not the selling price, merely the profit made. An old building that was possibly bought for only $450, 000 ($48 psf) in 2005 seems almost impossible. But the search on Realis, URA’s real estate transaction website, shows that there were not other transaction since then. Other similar transactions of landed property went for $561 psf in 1996 and $779 psf in 2001.

The site was bought by Roxy-Pacific for $24.5 million. Zoned for residential development, the 9, 321 sq ft site could possibly yield 85 one-bedders. With its close proximity to many creative art schools such as School of The Arts, La-Salle College of the Arts and Nanyang Academy of Fine Arts, it is set to gain popularity, if not already.

Wilkie 80

The relatively quiet enclave adds to the exclusivity, with a quaint little park at the top, and some boutique hotels and eateries along the way, not to mention its expensive and desirable city fringe location, properties in this area have been flying out from under the radar in recent years. Populated usually by low-rise apartments, some new properties have been popping up here. 8 Mount Sophia, 1919, Mount Sophia Suites, Wilkie 80, Wilkie Studio are just a few of the private apartments available for sale.

On another note, bungalows and landed properties may be popular with home investors and upgraders this year. Areas such as Thomson, Tanglin, Bukit Timah, Lornie and Sentosa Cove of course, are just a few areas to do some home-spotting.