Will rental market climb back up this year?

The private rental market has made a bit of a turnaround last month, posting a 1.3 per cent rise after months of lacklustre demand and declining prices.

MillPointCondoIn the prime districts, rents have rise 0.9 per cent, while the most obvious change was in the city fringes where prices rose 1.6 per cent. In the suburbs, a 1.3 per cent price increase was recorded. Rental volume also rose by 5.8 per cent in January with 3,813 units leased. That is 0.7 per cent higher than the 3,785 units leased in January 2016.

With the year leaning on this positive note, could the private residential leasing market be climbing its way out of the gloom? While property analysts are not expecting any drastic or quick decline in prices, neither are they predicting a recovery in the near future. As more new completions from 2015 and 2016 hit the market, the increase in available leasing options will make it more a tenant’s market. What are more popular are shorter leases, and the authorities may even begin to reconsider making shorter leases legal as more tenants are leaning towards these preferences. Previously 2-year tenures were common, but of late, 1-year leases are now becoming the new norm.

HDBFlatRentalFor HDB flats, rents have been falling almost entirely across the board with the 5-room flat segment leading the way with a 1.5 per cent decline. 3-room flat rental prices have however risen by 0.2 per cent. Rental volume for HDB flats have also fallen 16.1 per cent last month.

 

 

First private condominium launch in 2017 – Clement Canopy

Open for preview today is a new condominium in the west – on Clementi Avenue 1 to be exact. The 505-unit Clement Canopy is a joint venture between UOL Group and Singapore Land and the developers are hopeful about an uptick in demand, as shown by a pickup in new home sales last year.

The-Clement-Canopy-1Photo credit: http://clementcanopy.info

Situated in the Jurong Lake District – which is earmarked to be developed into the second Central Business District (CBD)– and with a number of schools such as the NUS High School of Mathematics and Science and the Yale-NUS College, this new condominium project will benefit from high rental demand. The 99-year leasehold development will consist of two 40-storey blocks holding a range of 2- to 4-room units. 194 out of the 505 units are 2-bedders sized between 635 to 732 sq ft and priced between $85,000 to $1 million. These smaller units are more palatable in terms of the total quantum price and also more in demand in the rental market.

The TrilinqOther bigger units include 3-bedders starting at $1.28 million and 4-bedders priced from $1.62 million. Selling prices are pegged between $1,340 to $1,360 psf. As a comparison, the neighbouring private residential condominiums, The Trilinq, is going for $1,400 psf but it is a tad nearer the Clementi MRT station; and Parc Riviera on West Coast Vale is selling at around $1,200 psf . There are no one-bedroom apartments at Clement Canopy and developers are hoping this will help differentiate their product from the rest of the market. Swimming pools and smart home features will be included in the project.

This year, the  would probably be all about timing. Launched at the right time, when demand is high and supply slow in stirring consumer interest, a new development could do very well indeed.

Fall of private home rents put dampener on market

Hana CondoFor the 6th month in a row, private home rental rates have fallen with an even sharper 1.3 per cent drop last month. In the HDB market, rental prices have however edged up by 0.2 per cent. The overall decline in rents is smaller in this market, at 3.7 per cent for the entire year of 2016. In the private property market however, for the whole of last year, rents have fallen 6.2 per cent and in a year-on-year comparison with January 2013, almost 20 per cent.

Not in particular good news for those who have been counting on rental yields to help with their multiple property mortgages. Plus a probable interest rates hike this year, the market could be looking at more sellers putting their property in auction sales or banks being more active in their mortgage auction sales. This could however work in the favour of buyers who have been looking for a home to live in. The closing price gap between private housing and higher-end resale public housing may also cause some contention and competition, with location and floor area possibly being the deciding factor for many.

KatongRegencyNot only has rental rates fallen, so has leasing volume. The number of condominium apartment leases fell to 3,691 last month, down 2.2 per cent from November’s 3,775 units. Last December’s leasing volume however is 17.1 per cent higher than in the same period in 2015. Overall, the rental market is weakening and investors can no only rely on rental yields to help tide them over.

Home rental market softening

Rents for both HDB flats and private condominiums have been falling. The number of leases transacted per month have also dipped.

olina-lodgeThe weakening economic situation might be lengthening its stay as the job market remains soft and the hiring of expatriates is on the decline as well, indirectly affecting rental demand. The influx of new completed private condominium units and increase in number of HDB flats being sublet have also pushed rental prices and volume down in recent months.

In September, private non-landed property rental prices fell 0.6 per cent while HDB flat rents fell 0.3 per cent. In a year-on-year comparison, prices have fallen 4.6 and 4.5 per cent in the previously-mentioned property sectors respectively. Weak rental demand have also impacted property sales as resale private condominium prices have been reported to be shrinking, especially with added pressure from new completed units and new project launches.

hdb-flat-rentalStrangely however, core region property prices have increased despite the district leading the drop in condominium rents at 1.8 per cent. City fringe properties bucked the trend with a 0.2 per cent rise as the quantum rental might be more affordable to foreign tenants who also want to live in convenient and popular locales.

In the rest of 2016, the rental market may stagnant while in wait for the new year. As most of the completed projects were rolled out this year, 2017 may be the turning point for both the rental and resale markets. Property analysts are expecting rents to fall by a further 5 per cent before a possible rebound.

Regional centres primed for growth

28 districts and 29 HDB estates strong, Singapore’s real estate market still holds space for growth, especially in the suburbs. As buyers become more investment-savvy, and the country grows, their needs and demands shift with the tides of time.

Lakeside URA MasterplanPhoto credit: URA

Buyers of today are looking for properties in a good location, not necessarily only in the central region, with the potential for value appreciation. There are now more regional centres than 2 decades ago, such as Woodlands, Tampines, Jurong and Seletar. These townships are considered second-tier commercial zones where residential, retail and industrial sectors connect and where residents can live, work and play all in the same location without having to step foot into the city centre. It helps spread the population out across the island and also create job opportunities and boosts property value and prices.

FLoravilleWith the Urban Redevelopment Authority’s (URA) Masterplan moving into action, there may be even more property hotspots coming up by the end of the decade. There are plans to develop the once sleepy Lakeside district into Singaporea’s second CBD. The Singapore-Kuala Lumpur High Speed Rail terminus will be located at Lakeside Gateway, which will be a good way of driving rental traffic in the area. The North will also see the development of the North Coast Innovation Corridor, centred around Woodlands and connected to the North South and Thomson MRT lines. And over in the North-east, the Seletar Aerospace Park is poised to bring in 10,000 new job opportunities and the early adopters of properties in the area may do well in the long term.

HDB flat and private condo rental prices evening out

The difference between renting a HDB flat and a private condominium unit used to be $1,000. Today, the difference stands at only $500. The gap between HDB flat and private property rental prices have narrowed considerably, due not to the rise in HDB flat rents but in the drop in private apartment rents.

Qbay ResidencesIn the past, renting a suburban condo would cost you $3,100 to $3,300 a month. Now, it is possible to rent a suburban unit at $2,700. HDB executive flat and 5-room flat rental prices have remained around the $2,200 to $2,400 range for the past 5 years now.

HDB flatMuch of the rental drop comes from the sudden increase in supply of new private condominium units, with more landlords now jostling for the same or shrinking tenant pool. Many HDB upgraders will also join the HDB rental pool as they seek to rent out their HDB flats.

Property analysts are putting it up to the shrinking apartment sizes. The psf rents have remained the same, but tenants are now getting less floor area than they used to for the same amount of money. They are however picky about location and may be willing to accept a smaller-sized accommodation in a central located as opposed to a larger one further away from their workplace or town.

As the gap narrows, will the HDB flat rental market take an indirect hit as tenants opt for private properties over public housing?

High vacancy rate hits property rental market

The days of brisk rental demand for private apartments could be going as the high number of vacant private property units in the market reached a record 10-year high at the end of 2015. Rents have fallen 4.6 per cent last year and analysts are predicting a 6 per cent drop this year.

Cassia EdgePhoto: Cassia Edge condominium

With the sheer number of new condominiums and smaller units introduced into the market in the last five to ten years, the opportunities for investors with varying financial capabilities have expanded vastly. Many of them have purchased smaller suburban units for investment purposes but 2016 may not bode well for those looking for a quick turnaround in terms of resale or rental of these units. The number of new condominium units hitting the market this year will mean increased competition for a diminishing tenant pool which will squeeze rental prices downwards. Many landlords are already finding it difficult to find tenants with the same asking prices as before, and have found it necessary to lower prices by 10 to 20 per cent.

Districts 19 and 20, which includes Bishan, Ang Mo Kio, Hougang, Punggol and Sengkang, will have the highest number of new units in their midst this year – approximately 8,200. This is despite the fact that rental prices have not risen much in these districts over the past 3 years. Property experts are however positive about the huge redevelopment of the Seletar Aerospace park which may continue to provide the demand for rental units. In the eastern districts however, demand may be waning as expatriates working in the hard-hit financial and banking sectors could be leaving the country.

Tenants’ market as rents dip

Tenants looking for a private apartment with a good location may now have more options as more properties enter the rental pool.

Property analysts have noticed that while rental rates have fallen 5.6 per cent since 2014, the number of private properties leased have risen 17.7 per cent. Shorter 12-month leases instead of the usual 24-months are also now more in demand. Tenants are taking the opportunity to move around more, in search for better units. More are now looking inwards to the Central region, as they tend to consider these city centre units better value-for-money. Landlords are also now more willing to negotiate as they begin to recognise that competition will only continue to heat up in the months ahead. Now $4,000 may be able to get you a two- or three-bedder in an older establishment in the city centre when it would have cost you $5,000 before.

Oliv Balmoral

Photo: The Oliv @ Balmoral

In the suburbs, as more new properties reach completion, rental prices may continue to dip. Private property rentals are expected to fall 4 to 5 per cent this year.

In the HDB rental market, as the number of rental HDB flats rise due to more HDB flat owners moving into their ready-for-occupation new suburban homes, leaving their empty units available for subletting; there are now an increasing number of four- and five-room flats available for rent. Rental rates for HDB flats have fallen 3.2 per cent this year. As the year-end draws near, overall property prices seem to indicate a stabilising market but as rental demand and prices continue to fall, will it inherently affect next year’s prospects?